Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Rochdale v Grimsby takes place on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Spotland Stadium (Rochdale); D. Bourne will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Rochdale vs Grimsby: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.30 | 3.83 | 2.16 |
| Market average | 3.17 | 3.58 | 2.08 |
| Lowest odds | 2.75 | 3.13 | 2.02 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.18 | 78.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.66 | 56.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.26 | 2.17 | 43.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.55 | 36.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.55 | 59.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.31 | 40.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Rochdale 1–1 Grimsby, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Rochdale 19th (15 points), Grimsby 6th (20 points).
- Absences: Rochdale 0, Grimsby 0.
Who will win Rochdale vs Grimsby?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Rochdale vs Grimsby: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Rochdale vs Grimsby: injuries, suspensions, absences
Rochdale
- No reported absences
Grimsby
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Rochdale vs Grimsby: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 | Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Rochdale
Home and away
Rochdale vs Grimsby: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Rochdale: 19th, 15 points from 14 matches (4W 3D 7L). Grimsby: 6th, 20 points (5W 5D 4L).
What to expect
We make Grimsby the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 57%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Not available: Rochdale 0, Grimsby 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.60). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Rochdale: no absences. Not available for Grimsby: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Rochdale vs Grimsby: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Rochdale vs Grimsby?
On the result, our pick is Draw or Grimsby (X2) (1.36); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Grimsby (X2).
Who will win Rochdale vs Grimsby?
As we see it: Rochdale to win 29%, the draw 26%, Grimsby to win 45%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
20 October 2026, 19:45, at Spotland Stadium, Rochdale. Referee: D. Bourne.
Who will be missing?
Rochdale: no absences. Grimsby: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 57% chance (odds 1.76), against 43% for under 2.5 (odds 2.26).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.60).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.2%), 1–2 (9.3%), 0–1 (8.6%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.