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Chance Liga · Matchweek 11 · 17 October 2026 · 14:00

Pardubice vs Zlín tip, odds and prediction, 17 October 2026, Chance Liga

3–0
DDLLD
1Pardubice1.65
XDraw4.56
2Zlín6.71

Top odds available · Updated 17/10/26, 12:01

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Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Pardubice entertain Zlín on 17 October 2026 · 14:00 at Letní Stadion (Pardubice), with Lukáš Nehasil the man in the middle. Pardubice (62%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Pardubice vs Zlín: tip and prediction
Result
Pardubice to win
1.65
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.80
Combo
Pardubice & over 2.5 goals
2.52
40% · fair combo odds
62%chance of the result
53%goals tip: chance
1–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Pardubice or draw (1X) – probability 85%, odds up to 1.18.

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Pardubice vs Zlín: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.654.566.71
Market average1.484.186.11
Lowest odds1.443.604.75
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2275.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.801.7752.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.051.9947.1%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.8932.0%
BTTS – yes1.951.8949.0%
BTTS – no1.851.8151.0%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 17/10/26, 12:01. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Pardubice 1–0 Zlín, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Pardubice 12th (14 points), Zlín 16th (3 points).
  • Absences: Pardubice 0, Zlín 0.

Who will win Pardubice vs Zlín?

Pardubice62%
Draw22%
Zlín15%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Pardubice vs Zlín: more betting markets

Pardubice or draw (1X)84.7% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.18
Likely
Over 1.5 goals75.7% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.0% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.40
Likely
Pardubice to win62.5% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.65
Likely
Over 2.5 goals52.9% · fair odds 1.89 · best 1.80
Possible
Both teams score: no51.0% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.85
Possible
Both teams score: yes49.0% · fair odds 2.04 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals47.1% · fair odds 2.12 · best 2.05
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.0% · fair odds 3.12 · best 3.00
Outsider
Draw22.2% · fair odds 4.51 · best 4.56
Outsider
Zlín to win15.3% · fair odds 6.53 · best 6.71
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.77 · Under 1.98
probability of over 52.7%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 011.9%
2 : 011.6%
1 : 110.1%
2 : 19.8%
3 : 07.5%
3 : 16.4%

Pardubice vs Zlín: injuries, suspensions, absences

Pardubice

  • No reported absences

Zlín

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Pardubice vs Zlín: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Slavia Praha139-4-032:731
2Mladá Boleslav137-3-322:1524
3Sigma Olomouc137-3-322:1524
4Sparta Praha137-2-425:1323
5Slovan Liberec127-2-315:823
6Teplice136-3-421:1821
7FK Jablonec136-2-516:1820
8Zbrojovka Brno136-2-516:1920
9Plzeň135-4-428:2119
10Bohemians 1905124-5-313:1317
11Hradec Králové134-3-612:1815
12Pardubice134-2-715:1914
13Baník Ostrava123-2-77:2211
14Artis122-4-613:2210
15Slovácko131-4-812:267
16Zlín130-3-1011:263

Recent matches

Pardubice

31 OctLPardubice 1–2 Slovan Liberec
25 OctWPlzeň 1–2 Pardubice
17 OctWPardubice 3–0 Zlín
11 OctLSparta Praha 2–0 Pardubice
19 SeptWPardubice 2–1 Bohemians 1905

Zlín

31 OctDArtis 2–2 Zlín
24 OctDZlín 1–1 Sigma Olomouc
17 OctLPardubice 3–0 Zlín
9 OctLZlín 0–1 Slavia Praha
20 SeptDFK Jablonec 1–1 Zlín

Home and away

Pardubice at home6 matches: 2W 1D 3L, goals 8–8
Zlín away6 matches: 0W 2D 4L, goals 8–15

Pardubice vs Zlín: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Pardubice: 12th, 14 points from 13 matches (4W 2D 7L). Zlín: 16th, 3 points (0W 3D 10L).

What to expect

We make Pardubice the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (11.9%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.80), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 49% and over 2.5 goals is 53%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 53%.
  2. Not available: Pardubice 0, Zlín 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: no

Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 51%, odds up to 1.85). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Pardubice: no absences. Not available for Zlín: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.3%

Pardubice vs Zlín: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Pardubice vs Zlín?

On the result, our pick is Pardubice to win (1.65); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.80). Prefer less risk? Go for Pardubice or draw (1X).

Who will win Pardubice vs Zlín?

As we see it: Pardubice to win 62%, the draw 22%, Zlín to win 15%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

17 October 2026, 14:00, at Letní Stadion, Pardubice. Referee: Lukáš Nehasil.

Who will be missing?

Pardubice: no absences. Zlín: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 53% chance (odds 1.80), against 47% for under 2.5 (odds 2.05).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 49% (odds 1.95).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–0 (11.9%), 2–0 (11.6%), 1–1 (10.1%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Artis vs Bohemians 1905 4 NovZlín vs Slovácko 7 NovSlovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 7 NovHradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc 7 NovZbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.