Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Avellino v Padova takes place on 24 October 2026 · 14:00 at Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino); Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi, Italy will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Avellino vs Padova: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.76 |
| Market average | 2.16 | 3.16 | 3.45 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.32 | 70.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.09 | 45.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.71 | 54.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.91 | 3.64 | 25.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.81 | 51.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.92 | 48.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 11:23. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Avellino 1–1 Padova, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Avellino 5th (15 points), Padova 9th (14 points).
- H2H: 6 matches: Avellino 1W 2D 3L, goals 4–6.
- Absences: Avellino 0, Padova 0.
Who will win Avellino vs Padova?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Avellino vs Padova: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Avellino vs Padova: injuries, suspensions, absences
Avellino
- No reported absences
Padova
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Avellino vs Padova: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 | Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Avellino
Home and away
Avellino vs Padova: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Avellino: 5th, 15 points from 10 matches (4W 3D 3L). Padova: 9th, 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 6 meetings: Avellino 1 win, Padova 3 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 4–6.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.7%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.74), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 51% and over 2.5 goals is 45%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 6; Avellino 1 win, 2 draws, Padova 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 1.7 per match.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 45%.
- Not available: Avellino 0, Padova 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 51%, odds up to 1.91). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Avellino: no absences. Not available for Padova: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Avellino vs Padova: head to head
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Avellino vs Padova: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Avellino vs Padova?
On the result, our pick is Avellino or draw (1X) (1.35); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.74). Prefer less risk? Go for Avellino or draw (1X).
Who will win Avellino vs Padova?
As we see it: Avellino to win 43%, the draw 30%, Padova to win 27%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 14:00, at Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino. Referee: Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Avellino: no absences. Padova: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 45% chance (odds 2.18), against 55% for under 2.5 (odds 1.74).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 51% (odds 1.91).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.7%), 1–0 (12.1%), 0–1 (9.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.