Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Newport County v Chesterfield takes place on 30 October 2026 · 19:45 at Rodney Parade (Newport); Z. Kennard-Kettle will referee. We back Chesterfield (54%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Newport County vs Chesterfield: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 5.00 | 3.95 | 1.98 |
| Market average | 4.60 | 3.67 | 1.72 |
| Lowest odds | 3.02 | 3.01 | 1.65 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.26 | 73.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.87 | 50.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.89 | 49.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.30 | 3.15 | 29.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.81 | 51.3% |
| BTTS – no | 1.93 | 1.91 | 48.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 30/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Newport County 0–1 Chesterfield, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Newport County 14th (18 points), Chesterfield 10th (19 points).
- Form in the competition: Newport County 3W 6D 4L (16:16), Chesterfield 5W 4D 4L (23:17).
- H2H: 9 matches: Newport County 4W 1D 4L, goals 16–16.
- Absences: Newport County 0, Chesterfield 0.
Who will win Newport County vs Chesterfield?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Newport County vs Chesterfield: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Newport County vs Chesterfield: injuries, suspensions, absences
Newport County
- No reported absences
Chesterfield
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Newport County vs Chesterfield: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Newport County
Home and away
Newport County vs Chesterfield: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Newport County: 14th, 18 points from 14 matches (4W 6D 4L). Chesterfield: 10th, 19 points (5W 4D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Newport County 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded, Chesterfield 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Newport County: 3W 6D 4L, goals 16–16; Chesterfield: 5W 4D 4L, goals 23–17.
- Head to head. Head to head over 9 meetings: Newport County 4 wins, Chesterfield 4 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 16–16.
What to expect
We make Chesterfield the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–1 (12.0%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.87), with a probability of 51% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 51% and over 2.5 goals is 50%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 9; Newport County 4 wins, 1 draw, Chesterfield 4 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.6 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Newport County 16–16, Chesterfield 23–17.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Not available: Newport County 0, Chesterfield 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 51%, odds up to 1.87). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Newport County: no absences. Not available for Chesterfield: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Newport County vs Chesterfield: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Newport CountyWLDDWChesterfieldLWDLDNewport County vs Chesterfield: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Newport County vs Chesterfield: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Newport County vs Chesterfield?
On the result, our pick is Chesterfield to win (1.98); on goals, Both teams to score (1.87). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Chesterfield (X2).
Who will win Newport County vs Chesterfield?
As we see it: Newport County to win 20%, the draw 25%, Chesterfield to win 54%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
30 October 2026, 19:45, at Rodney Parade, Newport. Referee: Z. Kennard-Kettle.
Who will be missing?
Newport County: no absences. Chesterfield: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 50% chance (odds 1.95), against 50% for under 2.5 (odds 1.93).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 51% (odds 1.87).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–1 (12.0%), 1–1 (11.4%), 0–2 (10.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.