Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Rotherham v Newport County takes place on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Aesseal New York Stadium (Rotherham); J. Callum will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Rotherham vs Newport County: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.30 | 3.49 | 3.25 |
| Market average | 2.23 | 3.32 | 3.09 |
| Lowest odds | 2.16 | 3.05 | 2.93 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 72.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.92 | 49.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.88 | 1.84 | 51.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.27 | 28.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.03 | 45.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Rotherham 1–1 Newport County, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Rotherham 22nd (12 points), Newport County 14th (18 points).
- Absences: Rotherham 0, Newport County 0.
Who will win Rotherham vs Newport County?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Rotherham vs Newport County: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Rotherham vs Newport County: injuries, suspensions, absences
Rotherham
- No reported absences
Newport County
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Rotherham vs Newport County: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 | |
| 2 | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 | |
| 4 | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 | |
| 5 | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 | |
| 6 | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 | |
| 7 | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 | |
| 8 | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 | |
| 9 | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 | |
| 10 | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 | |
| 11 | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 | |
| 13 | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 | |
| 14 | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 | |
| 15 | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 | |
| 16 | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 | |
| 17 | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 | |
| 18 | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 | |
| 19 | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 | |
| 20 | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 | |
| 22 | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 | |
| 23 | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 | |
| 24 | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Rotherham
Home and away
Rotherham vs Newport County: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Rotherham: 22nd, 12 points from 14 matches (2W 6D 6L). Newport County: 14th, 18 points (4W 6D 4L).
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.3%). We see a fairly level contest.
The two signals clash: on table position the Newport County look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.75), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 49%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Not available: Rotherham 0, Newport County 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.75). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Rotherham: no absences. Not available for Newport County: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
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Rotherham vs Newport County: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Rotherham vs Newport County?
On the result, our pick is Rotherham or draw (1X) (1.40); on goals, Both teams to score (1.75). Prefer less risk? Go for Rotherham or draw (1X).
Who will win Rotherham vs Newport County?
As we see it: Rotherham to win 42%, the draw 28%, Newport County to win 30%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
20 October 2026, 19:45, at Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham. Referee: J. Callum.
Who will be missing?
Rotherham: no absences. Newport County: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 49% chance (odds 1.97), against 51% for under 2.5 (odds 1.88).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.75).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.3%), 1–0 (10.2%), 2–1 (8.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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