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League Two · Matchweek 12 · 20 October 2026 · 19:45

Rotherham vs Newport County tip, odds and prediction, 20 October 2026, League Two

1Rotherham2.30
XDraw3.49
2Newport County3.25

Top odds available · Updated 20/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Rotherham v Newport County takes place on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Aesseal New York Stadium (Rotherham); J. Callum will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Rotherham vs Newport County: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Rotherham or draw (1X)
1.40
Goals
Both teams to score
1.75
70%chance of the result
54%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Rotherham vs Newport County: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.303.493.25
Market average2.233.323.09
Lowest odds2.163.052.93
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.311.2872.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.971.9249.0%
Under 2.5 goals1.881.8451.0%
Over 3.5 goals3.403.2728.3%
BTTS – yes1.751.7154.2%
BTTS – no2.152.0345.8%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.5%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Rotherham 1–1 Newport County, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Rotherham 22nd (12 points), Newport County 14th (18 points).
  • Absences: Rotherham 0, Newport County 0.

Who will win Rotherham vs Newport County?

Rotherham42%
Draw28%
Newport County30%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Rotherham vs Newport County: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals72.8% · fair odds 1.37 · best 1.31
Likely
Under 3.5 goals71.7% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.33
Likely
Rotherham or draw (1X)69.8% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.40
Likely
Both teams score: yes54.2% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.75
Possible
Under 2.5 goals51.0% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.88
Possible
Over 2.5 goals49.0% · fair odds 2.04 · best 1.97
Outsider
Both teams score: no45.8% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.15
Outsider
Rotherham to win41.8% · fair odds 2.39 · best 2.30
Outsider
Newport County to win30.2% · fair odds 3.32 · best 3.25
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals28.3% · fair odds 3.53 · best 3.40
Outsider
Draw28.1% · fair odds 3.56 · best 3.49
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.84 · Under 1.90
probability of over 50.7%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.3%
1 : 010.2%
2 : 18.9%
0 : 18.5%
2 : 07.4%
1 : 27.4%

Rotherham vs Newport County: injuries, suspensions, absences

Rotherham

  • No reported absences

Newport County

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Rotherham vs Newport County: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Salford City1410-1-325:1531
2Barnet137-5-128:1826
3Walsall135-7-121:1222
4Crewe145-7-217:1722
5Cheltenham146-3-523:2521
6Grimsby145-5-424:1820
7York145-5-424:2120
8Gillingham145-5-420:1920
9Accrington ST144-7-323:1719
10Chesterfield145-4-524:2119
11Tranmere144-7-319:1719
12Exeter City145-4-511:919
13Swindon Town145-4-515:1719
14Newport County144-6-420:1718
15Shrewsbury145-3-617:2218
16Fleetwood Town144-5-518:1817
17Bristol Rovers145-1-817:2316
18Port Vale124-3-510:1415
19Rochdale144-3-717:2615
20Northampton123-5-49:914
21Oldham133-3-714:1912
22Rotherham142-6-618:2512
23Colchester132-6-512:1912
24Crawley Town122-3-713:219

Recent matches

Rotherham

31 OctLSwindon Town 2–1 Rotherham
24 OctDRotherham 3–3 Shrewsbury
20 OctDRotherham 2–2 Newport County
17 OctLFleetwood Town 2–0 Rotherham
10 OctLRotherham 1–4 Gillingham

Newport County

30 OctWNewport County 4–1 Chesterfield
24 OctLCheltenham 1–0 Newport County
20 OctDRotherham 2–2 Newport County
17 OctDNewport County 1–1 York
10 OctWNewport County 1–0 Colchester

Home and away

Rotherham at home7 matches: 1W 5D 1L, goals 13–15
Newport County away7 matches: 0W 3D 4L, goals 6–11

Rotherham vs Newport County: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Rotherham: 22nd, 12 points from 14 matches (2W 6D 6L). Newport County: 14th, 18 points (4W 6D 4L).

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.3%). We see a fairly level contest.

The two signals clash: on table position the Newport County look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.75), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 49%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 49%.
  2. Not available: Rotherham 0, Newport County 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.75). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Rotherham: no absences. Not available for Newport County: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.5%

Rotherham vs Newport County: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Rotherham vs Newport County?

On the result, our pick is Rotherham or draw (1X) (1.40); on goals, Both teams to score (1.75). Prefer less risk? Go for Rotherham or draw (1X).

Who will win Rotherham vs Newport County?

As we see it: Rotherham to win 42%, the draw 28%, Newport County to win 30%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

20 October 2026, 19:45, at Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham. Referee: J. Callum.

Who will be missing?

Rotherham: no absences. Newport County: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 49% chance (odds 1.97), against 51% for under 2.5 (odds 1.88).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.75).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.3%), 1–0 (10.2%), 2–1 (8.9%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.