Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Chesterfield v Crewe takes place on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield); W. Davis will referee. We back Chesterfield (54%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Chesterfield vs Crewe: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.83 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| Market average | 1.74 | 3.79 | 4.33 |
| Lowest odds | 1.68 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.18 | 78.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.65 | 56.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.24 | 2.16 | 43.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.57 | 36.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.62 | 57.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.17 | 42.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 13:59. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Chesterfield 1–1 Crewe, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Chesterfield 10th (19 points), Crewe 4th (22 points).
- H2H: 13 matches: Chesterfield 7W 2D 4L, goals 26–23.
- Absences: Chesterfield 0, Crewe 0.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Crewe?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Chesterfield vs Crewe: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Chesterfield vs Crewe: injuries, suspensions, absences
Chesterfield
- No reported absences
Crewe
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Chesterfield vs Crewe: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Chesterfield
Home and away
Chesterfield vs Crewe: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Chesterfield: 10th, 19 points from 14 matches (5W 4D 5L). Crewe: 4th, 22 points (5W 7D 2L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 13 meetings: Chesterfield 7 wins, Crewe 4 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 26–23.
What to expect
We make Chesterfield the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.7%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 57%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 13; Chesterfield 7 wins, 2 draws, Crewe 4 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.8 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Not available: Chesterfield 0, Crewe 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 57%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Chesterfield: no absences. Not available for Crewe: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Chesterfield vs Crewe: head to head
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Chesterfield vs Crewe: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Chesterfield vs Crewe?
On the result, our pick is Chesterfield to win (1.83); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for Chesterfield or draw (1X).
Who will win Chesterfield vs Crewe?
As we see it: Chesterfield to win 54%, the draw 25%, Crewe to win 22%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 15:00, at SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield. Referee: W. Davis.
Who will be missing?
Chesterfield: no absences. Crewe: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 57% chance (odds 1.67), against 43% for under 2.5 (odds 2.24).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.7%), 2–1 (9.9%), 1–0 (9.7%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.