Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Chesterfield v Colchester takes place on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield); P. Howard will referee. We back Chesterfield (60%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Chesterfield vs Colchester: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.62 | 4.43 | 5.75 |
| Market average | 1.55 | 4.16 | 5.24 |
| Lowest odds | 1.52 | 3.77 | 4.76 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 78.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.62 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.28 | 2.21 | 42.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.52 | 36.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.69 | 54.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.06 | 45.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Chesterfield 2–1 Colchester, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Chesterfield 10th (19 points), Colchester 23rd (12 points).
- Absences: Chesterfield 0, Colchester 0.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Colchester?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Chesterfield vs Colchester: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Chesterfield vs Colchester: injuries, suspensions, absences
Chesterfield
- No reported absences
Colchester
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Chesterfield vs Colchester: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Chesterfield
Home and away
Chesterfield vs Colchester: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Chesterfield: 10th, 19 points from 14 matches (5W 4D 5L). Colchester: 23rd, 12 points (2W 6D 5L).
What to expect
We make Chesterfield the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (10.0%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Not available: Chesterfield 0, Colchester 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, odds up to 1.65). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Chesterfield: no absences. Not available for Colchester: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Chesterfield vs Colchester: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Chesterfield vs Colchester?
On the result, our pick is Chesterfield to win (1.62); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Chesterfield or draw (1X).
Who will win Chesterfield vs Colchester?
As we see it: Chesterfield to win 60%, the draw 22%, Colchester to win 18%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
20 October 2026, 19:45, at SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield. Referee: P. Howard.
Who will be missing?
Chesterfield: no absences. Colchester: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.65), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.28).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.73).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (10.0%), 2–0 (10.0%), 1–1 (10.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.