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Premier League · Matchweek 10 · 7 November 2026 · 17:30

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City tip, odds and prediction, 7 November 2026, Premier League

1Nottingham Forest4.83
XDraw4.36
2Manchester City1.73

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 08:38

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Nottingham Forest v Manchester City takes place on 7 November 2026 · 17:30 at City Ground (Nottingham). We back Manchester City (56%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: tip and prediction
Result
Manchester City to win
1.73
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.53
Combo
Manchester City & over 2.5 goals
2.66
38% · fair combo odds
56%chance of the result
63%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Manchester City (X2) – probability 79%, odds up to 1.22.

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Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available4.834.361.73
Market average4.594.041.68
Lowest odds4.033.661.65
Megapari4.834.371.73
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.211.1879.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.691.6358.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.362.2841.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.632.5337.4%
BTTS – yes1.621.6157.8%
BTTS – no2.302.2142.2%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:38. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.1%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Nottingham Forest 1–1 Manchester City, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Nottingham Forest 19th (6 points), Manchester City 2nd (21 points).
  • Form in the competition: Nottingham Forest 1W 3D 5L (6:12), Manchester City 7W 0D 2L (20:10).
  • H2H: 9 matches: Nottingham Forest 1W 2D 6L, goals 5–20.
  • Absences: Nottingham Forest 0, Manchester City 0.

Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

Nottingham Forest21%
Draw23%
Manchester City56%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: more betting markets

Draw or Manchester City (X2)79.4% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.22
Likely
Over 1.5 goals79.3% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.21
Likely
Under 3.5 goals62.6% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.53
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.4% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.69
Possible
Both teams score: yes57.8% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.62
Possible
Manchester City to win56.1% · fair odds 1.78 · best 1.73
Possible
Both teams score: no42.2% · fair odds 2.37 · best 2.30
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals41.6% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.36
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals37.4% · fair odds 2.68 · best 2.63
Outsider
Draw23.3% · fair odds 4.28 · best 4.36
Outsider
Nottingham Forest to win20.6% · fair odds 4.86 · best 4.83
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.4%
1 : 29.9%
0 : 19.5%
0 : 29.0%
1 : 36.3%
2 : 15.7%

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: injuries, suspensions, absences

Nottingham Forest

  • No reported absences

Manchester City

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Arsenal98-0-114:524
2Manchester City97-0-220:1021
3Brighton96-1-224:719
4Chelsea95-1-319:1516
5Liverpool94-3-211:915
6Brentford93-5-116:914
7Bournemouth93-3-314:1312
8Tottenham93-3-310:1012
9Aston Villa93-3-310:1312
10Hull City92-5-211:1011
11Leeds92-5-29:811
12Newcastle83-2-312:1411
13Ipswich93-2-414:1811
14Everton82-4-28:910
15Fulham92-3-49:119
16Coventry93-0-69:169
17Manchester United91-4-410:157
18Crystal Palace92-1-69:217
19Nottingham Forest91-3-56:126
20Sunderland91-2-67:175

Recent matches

Nottingham Forest

31 OctLBrentford 2–0 Nottingham Forest
23 OctDIpswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest
18 OctLNottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal
11 OctLCrystal Palace 3–1 Nottingham Forest
19 SeptLNottingham Forest 0–1 Coventry

Manchester City

31 OctLManchester City 0–1 Brighton
24 OctLAston Villa 2–1 Manchester City
20 OctWManchester City 5–1 AEK Athens FC
17 OctWManchester City 3–2 Ipswich
14 OctLManchester City 2–4 Paris Saint Germain

Home and away

Nottingham Forest at home4 matches: 0W 1D 3L, goals 0–3
Manchester City away4 matches: 3W 0D 1L, goals 9–3

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Nottingham Forest: 19th, 6 points from 9 matches (1W 3D 5L). Manchester City: 2nd, 21 points (7W 0D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Nottingham Forest 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded, Manchester City 2.2 scored and 1.1 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Nottingham Forest: 1W 3D 5L, goals 6–12; Manchester City: 7W 0D 2L, goals 20–10.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 9 meetings: Nottingham Forest 1 win, Manchester City 6 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 5–20.

What to expect

We make Manchester City the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.4%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 9; Nottingham Forest 1 win, 2 draws, Manchester City 6 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.8 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Nottingham Forest 6–12, Manchester City 20–10.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
  5. Not available: Nottingham Forest 0, Manchester City 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, odds up to 1.69). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Nottingham Forest: no absences. Not available for Manchester City: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: the numbers side by side

Nottingham ForestManchester City
10%Form90%
14%Attack86%
50%Defence50%
29%Head to head71%
31%Goals69%
26.8%Overall73.2%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

Nottingham ForestLDLLL
Manchester CityLLWWW

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: head to head

All matches
1Nottingham Forest
2Draws
6Manchester City
4/3/26 · Manchester City 2–2 Nottingham Forest
27/12/25 · Nottingham Forest 1–2 Manchester City
27/4/25 · Nottingham Forest 0–2 Manchester City
8/3/25 · Nottingham Forest 1–0 Manchester City
4/12/24 · Manchester City 3–0 Nottingham Forest
28/4/24 · Nottingham Forest 0–2 Manchester City

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.1%

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

On the result, our pick is Manchester City to win (1.73); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.53). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Manchester City (X2).

Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

As we see it: Nottingham Forest to win 21%, the draw 23%, Manchester City to win 56%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

7 November 2026, 17:30, at City Ground, Nottingham.

Who will be missing?

Nottingham Forest: no absences. Manchester City: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.69), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.36).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.62).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.4%), 1–2 (9.9%), 0–1 (9.5%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.