Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Metz and PAU meet on 30 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz), under referee Bastein Dechepy. Metz (48%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Metz vs PAU: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.08 | 3.79 | 3.90 |
| Market average | 1.93 | 3.49 | 3.65 |
| Lowest odds | 1.80 | 3.07 | 2.89 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.25 | 74.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.82 | 51.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 1.96 | 48.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.21 | 3.08 | 30.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.03 | 45.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 30/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Metz 1–1 PAU, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Metz 10th (14 points), PAU 3rd (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Metz 3W 5D 2L (16:14), PAU 5W 2D 3L (13:10).
- H2H: 5 matches: Metz 1W 2D 2L, goals 4–6.
- Absences: Metz 0, PAU 0.
Who will win Metz vs PAU?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Metz vs PAU: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Metz vs PAU: injuries, suspensions, absences
Metz
- No reported absences
PAU
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Metz vs PAU: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Montpellier | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 |
| 3 | PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 4 |  Nancy | 10 | 6-1-3 | 12:8 | 19 |
| 5 |  Reims | 10 | 4-6-0 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:12 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 9 |  Guingamp | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Metz | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 11 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 12 |  Dunkerque | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 10 | 2-5-3 | 8:12 | 11 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 15 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 16 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 18 |  Grenoble | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Metz
Home and away
Metz vs PAU: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Metz: 10th, 14 points from 11 matches (3W 5D 3L). PAU: 3rd, 20 points (6W 2D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Metz 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded, PAU 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Metz: 3W 5D 2L, goals 16–14; PAU: 5W 2D 3L, goals 13–10.
- Head to head. Head to head over 5 meetings: Metz 1 win, PAU 2 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 4–6.
What to expect
We make Metz the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.8%). We see a fairly level contest.
The two signals clash: on table position the PAU look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.73), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 5; Metz 1 win, 2 draws, PAU 2 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.0 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Metz 16–14, PAU 13–10.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Not available: Metz 0, PAU 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.73). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Metz: no absences. Not available for PAU: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Metz vs PAU: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
MetzLDWLDPAUWWWWWMetz vs PAU: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Metz vs PAU: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Metz vs PAU?
On the result, our pick is Metz to win (2.08); on goals, Both teams to score (1.73). Prefer less risk? Go for Metz or draw (1X).
Who will win Metz vs PAU?
As we see it: Metz to win 48%, the draw 27%, PAU to win 25%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
30 October 2026, 19:00, at Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz. Referee: Bastein Dechepy.
Who will be missing?
Metz: no absences. PAU: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.90), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 2.08).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.73).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.8%), 1–0 (10.8%), 2–1 (9.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.