Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
PAU and Grenoble meet on 23 October 2026 · 19:00 at Nouste Camp (Pau), under referee Gabriel Henry, France. PAU (50%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
PAU vs Grenoble: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.93 | 3.55 | 4.61 |
| Market average | 1.87 | 3.38 | 4.16 |
| Lowest odds | 1.83 | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.33 | 70.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.16 | 2.06 | 45.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.72 | 54.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.68 | 25.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.87 | 49.5% |
| BTTS – no | 1.86 | 1.83 | 50.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 23/10/26, 17:15. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: PAU 1–0 Grenoble, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: PAU 3rd (20 points), Grenoble 18th (8 points).
- H2H: 17 matches: PAU 5W 8D 4L, goals 18–20.
- Absences: PAU 0, Grenoble 0.
Who will win PAU vs Grenoble?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
PAU vs Grenoble: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
PAU vs Grenoble: injuries, suspensions, absences
PAU
- No reported absences
Grenoble
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
PAU vs Grenoble: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Montpellier | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 |
| 3 | PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 4 |  Nancy | 10 | 6-1-3 | 12:8 | 19 |
| 5 |  Reims | 10 | 4-6-0 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:12 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 9 |  Guingamp | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 10 |  Metz | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 11 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 12 |  Dunkerque | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 10 | 2-5-3 | 8:12 | 11 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 15 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 16 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 18 | Grenoble | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
PAU
Home and away
PAU vs Grenoble: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. PAU: 3rd, 20 points from 11 matches (6W 2D 3L). Grenoble: 18th, 8 points (2W 2D 7L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 17 meetings: PAU 5 wins, Grenoble 4 wins, plus 8 draws; goals 18–20.
What to expect
We make PAU the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (12.9%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.76), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 49% and over 2.5 goals is 46%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 17; PAU 5 wins, 8 draws, Grenoble 4 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.2 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 46%.
- Not available: PAU 0, Grenoble 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: no
Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 51%, odds up to 1.86). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for PAU: no absences. Not available for Grenoble: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
PAU vs Grenoble: head to head
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PAU vs Grenoble: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for PAU vs Grenoble?
On the result, our pick is PAU to win (1.93); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.76). Prefer less risk? Go for PAU or draw (1X).
Who will win PAU vs Grenoble?
As we see it: PAU to win 50%, the draw 28%, Grenoble to win 22%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
23 October 2026, 19:00, at Nouste Camp, Pau. Referee: Gabriel Henry, France.
Who will be missing?
PAU: no absences. Grenoble: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 46% chance (odds 2.16), against 54% for under 2.5 (odds 1.76).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 49% (odds 1.91).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–0 (12.9%), 1–1 (12.3%), 2–0 (9.7%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.