Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Dunkerque entertain Metz on 23 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkirk), with Mickaël Leleu, France the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Dunkerque vs Metz: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.83 | 3.63 | 2.46 |
| Market average | 2.78 | 3.55 | 2.31 |
| Lowest odds | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.17 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.71 | 1.62 | 57.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.24 | 42.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.79 | 2.52 | 36.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 61.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.42 | 38.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 23/10/26, 17:15. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Dunkerque 1–1 Metz, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Dunkerque 12th (12 points), Metz 10th (14 points).
- H2H: 5 matches: Dunkerque 0W 1D 4L, goals 5–11.
- Absences: Dunkerque 0, Metz 0.
Who will win Dunkerque vs Metz?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Dunkerque vs Metz: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Dunkerque vs Metz: injuries, suspensions, absences
Dunkerque
- No reported absences
Metz
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Dunkerque vs Metz: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Montpellier | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 |
| 3 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 4 |  Nancy | 10 | 6-1-3 | 12:8 | 19 |
| 5 |  Reims | 10 | 4-6-0 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:12 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 9 |  Guingamp | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Metz | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 11 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 10 | 2-5-3 | 8:12 | 11 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 15 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 16 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 18 |  Grenoble | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Dunkerque
Home and away
Dunkerque vs Metz: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Dunkerque: 12th, 12 points from 11 matches (3W 3D 5L). Metz: 10th, 14 points (3W 5D 3L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 5 meetings: Dunkerque 0 wins, Metz 4 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 5–11.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 5; Dunkerque 0 wins, 1 draw, Metz 4 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.2 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Not available: Dunkerque 0, Metz 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 62%, odds up to 1.53). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Dunkerque: no absences. Not available for Metz: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Dunkerque vs Metz: head to head
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Dunkerque vs Metz: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Dunkerque vs Metz?
On the result, our pick is Draw or Metz (X2) (1.47); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.53). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Metz (X2).
Who will win Dunkerque vs Metz?
As we see it: Dunkerque to win 33%, the draw 26%, Metz to win 40%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
23 October 2026, 19:00, at Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkirk. Referee: Mickaël Leleu, France.
Who will be missing?
Dunkerque: no absences. Metz: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.71), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.27).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.53).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.4%), 1–2 (8.8%), 0–1 (8.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.