Bet with MINO CASINO →Montpellier and Metz meet on 6 November 2026 · 19:00 at Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier). Montpellier (46%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Montpellier vs Metz: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.12 | 3.40 | 4.01 |
| Market average | 2.05 | 3.21 | 3.73 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
| Megapari | 2.03 | 3.22 | 3.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.20 | 77.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.78 | 1.71 | 55.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.14 | 2.13 | 44.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.82 | 2.60 | 35.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.56 | 59.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.35 | 2.30 | 40.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:30. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.8%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 12:56. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Montpellier 1–1 Metz, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Montpellier 2nd (24 points), Metz 10th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Montpellier 7W 3D 1L (16:6), Metz 3W 5D 3L (17:17).
- H2H: 17 matches: Montpellier 7W 5D 5L, goals 25–19.
- Absences: Montpellier 0, Metz 0.
Who will win Montpellier vs Metz?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Montpellier vs Metz: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Montpellier vs Metz: injuries, suspensions, absences
Montpellier
- No reported absences
Metz
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Montpellier vs Metz: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 | Montpellier | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 |
| 3 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 4 |  Nancy | 10 | 6-1-3 | 12:8 | 19 |
| 5 |  Reims | 10 | 4-6-0 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:12 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 9 |  Guingamp | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Metz | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 11 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 12 |  Dunkerque | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 10 | 2-5-3 | 8:12 | 11 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 15 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 16 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 18 |  Grenoble | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Montpellier
Home and away
Montpellier vs Metz: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Montpellier: 2nd, 24 points from 11 matches (7W 3D 1L). Metz: 10th, 14 points (3W 5D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Montpellier 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded, Metz 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Montpellier: 7W 3D 1L, goals 16–6; Metz: 3W 5D 3L, goals 17–17.
- Head to head. Head to head over 17 meetings: Montpellier 7 wins, Metz 5 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 25–19.
What to expect
We make Montpellier the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.5%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 55%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 17; Montpellier 7 wins, 5 draws, Metz 5 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Montpellier 16–6, Metz 17–17.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 55%.
- Not available: Montpellier 0, Metz 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Montpellier: no absences. Not available for Metz: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Montpellier vs Metz: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
MontpellierWWWWDMetzLDWLDMontpellier vs Metz: head to head
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Montpellier vs Metz: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Montpellier vs Metz?
On the result, our pick is Montpellier to win (2.12); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.45). Prefer less risk? Go for Montpellier or draw (1X).
Who will win Montpellier vs Metz?
As we see it: Montpellier to win 46%, the draw 29%, Metz to win 25%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
6 November 2026, 19:00, at Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier.
Who will be missing?
Montpellier: no absences. Metz: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 55% chance (odds 1.78), against 45% for under 2.5 (odds 2.14).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.5%), 1–0 (9.5%), 2–1 (9.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.