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League Two · Matchweek 12 · 20 October 2026 · 19:45

Exeter City vs Crewe tip, odds and prediction, 20 October 2026, League Two

2–0
DLLWW
1Exeter City2.55
XDraw3.40
2Crewe3.02

Top odds available · Updated 20/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Exeter City and Crewe meet on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at St James Park (Exeter), under referee H. Wager. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Exeter City vs Crewe: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Exeter City or draw (1X)
1.44
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.75
68%chance of the result
55%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Exeter City vs Crewe: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.553.403.02
Market average2.453.152.86
Lowest odds2.303.002.61
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.371.3369.7%
Over 2.5 goals2.192.0945.0%
Under 2.5 goals1.751.7155.0%
Over 3.5 goals3.803.6725.3%
BTTS – yes1.831.8051.6%
BTTS – no2.101.9248.4%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Exeter City 1–1 Crewe, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Exeter City 12th (19 points), Crewe 4th (22 points).
  • Absences: Exeter City 0, Crewe 0.

Who will win Exeter City vs Crewe?

Exeter City38%
Draw30%
Crewe32%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Exeter City vs Crewe: more betting markets

Under 3.5 goals74.7% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.27
Likely
Over 1.5 goals69.7% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.37
Likely
Exeter City or draw (1X)67.5% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.44
Likely
Under 2.5 goals55.0% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.75
Possible
Both teams score: yes51.6% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.83
Possible
Both teams score: no48.4% · fair odds 2.06 · best 2.10
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals45.0% · fair odds 2.22 · best 2.19
Outsider
Exeter City to win38.0% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.55
Outsider
Crewe to win32.5% · fair odds 3.08 · best 3.02
Outsider
Draw29.5% · fair odds 3.39 · best 3.40
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals25.3% · fair odds 3.96 · best 3.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.94 · Under 1.81
probability of over 48.3%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 113.0%
1 : 011.3%
0 : 110.4%
0 : 09.1%
2 : 18.2%
1 : 27.5%

Exeter City vs Crewe: injuries, suspensions, absences

Exeter City

  • No reported absences

Crewe

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Exeter City vs Crewe: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Salford City1410-1-325:1531
2Barnet137-5-128:1826
3Walsall135-7-121:1222
4Crewe145-7-217:1722
5Cheltenham146-3-523:2521
6Grimsby145-5-424:1820
7York145-5-424:2120
8Gillingham145-5-420:1920
9Accrington ST144-7-323:1719
10Chesterfield145-4-524:2119
11Tranmere144-7-319:1719
12Exeter City145-4-511:919
13Swindon Town145-4-515:1719
14Newport County144-6-420:1718
15Shrewsbury145-3-617:2218
16Fleetwood Town144-5-518:1817
17Bristol Rovers145-1-817:2316
18Port Vale124-3-510:1415
19Rochdale144-3-717:2615
20Northampton123-5-49:914
21Oldham133-3-714:1912
22Rotherham142-6-618:2512
23Colchester132-6-512:1912
24Crawley Town122-3-713:219

Recent matches

Exeter City

31 OctLSalford City 2–1 Exeter City
24 OctWExeter City 2–1 Fleetwood Town
20 OctWExeter City 2–0 Crewe
17 OctDColchester 0–0 Exeter City
10 OctWShrewsbury 0–1 Exeter City

Crewe

31 OctDCrewe 1–1 Barnet
24 OctLChesterfield 5–1 Crewe
20 OctLExeter City 2–0 Crewe
17 OctWCrewe 3–2 Rochdale
10 OctWSwindon Town 0–1 Crewe

Home and away

Exeter City at home7 matches: 4W 3D 0L, goals 8–2
Crewe away7 matches: 2W 3D 2L, goals 5–9

Exeter City vs Crewe: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Exeter City: 12th, 19 points from 14 matches (5W 4D 5L). Crewe: 4th, 22 points (5W 7D 2L).

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (13.0%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 45%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 45%.
  2. Not available: Exeter City 0, Crewe 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 52%, odds up to 1.83). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Exeter City: no absences. Not available for Crewe: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.7%

Exeter City vs Crewe: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Exeter City vs Crewe?

On the result, our pick is Exeter City or draw (1X) (1.44); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.75). Prefer less risk? Go for Exeter City or draw (1X).

Who will win Exeter City vs Crewe?

As we see it: Exeter City to win 38%, the draw 30%, Crewe to win 32%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

20 October 2026, 19:45, at St James Park, Exeter. Referee: H. Wager.

Who will be missing?

Exeter City: no absences. Crewe: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 45% chance (odds 2.19), against 55% for under 2.5 (odds 1.75).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.83).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (13.0%), 1–0 (11.3%), 0–1 (10.4%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.