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Serie B · Matchweek 11 · 8 November 2026 · 16:15

Carrarese vs Sampdoria tip, odds and prediction, 8 November 2026, Serie B

VS
1Carrarese2.57
XDraw3.26
2Sampdoria3.04

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 03:00

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Carrarese entertain Sampdoria on 8 November 2026 · 16:15 at Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara). We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Carrarese vs Sampdoria: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Carrarese or draw (1X)
1.44
Goals
Both teams to score
1.73
67%chance of the result
55%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Carrarese vs Sampdoria: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.573.263.04
Market average2.463.192.88
Lowest odds2.383.102.70
Megapari2.403.262.89
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.331.2773.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.981.9149.6%
Under 2.5 goals1.891.8850.4%
Over 3.5 goals3.333.1429.6%
BTTS – yes1.731.6755.3%
BTTS – no2.112.0744.7%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.8%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Carrarese 1–1 Sampdoria, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Carrarese 15th (10 points), Sampdoria 19th (8 points).
  • Form in the competition: Carrarese 3W 1D 5L (9:10), Sampdoria 2W 2D 6L (10:18).
  • H2H: 4 matches: Carrarese 2W 1D 1L, goals 6–4.
  • Absences: Carrarese 0, Sampdoria 0.

Who will win Carrarese vs Sampdoria?

Carrarese38%
Draw29%
Sampdoria33%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Carrarese vs Sampdoria: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals73.5% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.33
Likely
Under 3.5 goals70.4% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.34
Likely
Carrarese or draw (1X)67.5% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.44
Likely
Both teams score: yes55.3% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.73
Possible
Under 2.5 goals50.4% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.89
Possible
Over 2.5 goals49.6% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.98
Outsider
Both teams score: no44.7% · fair odds 2.24 · best 2.11
Outsider
Carrarese to win38.1% · fair odds 2.62 · best 2.57
Outsider
Sampdoria to win32.5% · fair odds 3.08 · best 3.04
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals29.6% · fair odds 3.38 · best 3.33
Outsider
Draw29.3% · fair odds 3.41 · best 3.26
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.5%
1 : 010.0%
0 : 19.3%
2 : 18.5%
1 : 27.8%
0 : 07.4%

Carrarese vs Sampdoria: injuries, suspensions, absences

Carrarese

  • No reported absences

Sampdoria

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Carrarese vs Sampdoria: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Palermo108-2-024:1226
2Modena106-2-218:1020
3Ascoli105-4-116:619
4Mantova105-3-215:1118
5Avellino104-3-315:1015
6Benevento104-3-314:1015
7Hellas Verona104-3-319:1315
8Pisa104-3-318:1515
9Padova104-2-410:1114
10Südtirol103-5-211:1014
11Cremonese103-3-410:1112
12Cesena102-6-211:1412
13Arezzo103-2-59:1911
14Virtus Entella102-4-411:1210
15Carrarese103-1-69:1310
16Juve Stabia103-4-311:119
17Vicenza Virtus102-3-513:209
18Empoli102-2-610:178
19Sampdoria102-2-610:188
20Catanzaro101-3-611:226

Recent matches

Carrarese

1 NovLHellas Verona 3–0 Carrarese
28 OctWCarrarese 2–1 Arezzo
25 OctLPalermo 2–1 Carrarese
17 OctWCarrarese 2–1 Modena
11 OctWPadova 0–2 Carrarese

Sampdoria

31 OctWSampdoria 2–0 Virtus Entella
27 OctLAscoli 2–0 Sampdoria
24 OctDSüdtirol 1–1 Sampdoria
18 OctLSampdoria 1–2 Arezzo
9 OctLAvellino 4–1 Sampdoria

Home and away

Carrarese at home5 matches: 2W 0D 3L, goals 5–6
Sampdoria away6 matches: 0W 2D 4L, goals 4–13

Carrarese vs Sampdoria: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Carrarese: 15th, 10 points from 10 matches (3W 1D 6L). Sampdoria: 19th, 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Carrarese 1.0 scored and 1.1 conceded, Sampdoria 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Carrarese: 3W 1D 5L, goals 9–10; Sampdoria: 2W 2D 6L, goals 10–18.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 4 meetings: Carrarese 2 wins, Sampdoria 1 win, plus 1 draw; goals 6–4.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.5%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.73), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 50%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 4; Carrarese 2 wins, 1 draw, Sampdoria 1 win.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.5 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Carrarese 9–10, Sampdoria 10–18.
  4. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 50%.
  5. Not available: Carrarese 0, Sampdoria 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 55%, odds up to 1.73). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Carrarese: no absences. Not available for Sampdoria: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Carrarese vs Sampdoria: the numbers side by side

CarrareseSampdoria
69%Form31%
58%Attack42%
64%Defence36%
64%Head to head36%
60%Goals40%
64.5%Overall35.5%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

CarrareseLWLWW
SampdoriaWLDLL

Carrarese vs Sampdoria: head to head

All matches
2Carrarese
1Draws
1Sampdoria
18/3/26 · Carrarese 2–0 Sampdoria
7/12/25 · Sampdoria 3–2 Carrarese
25/4/25 · Carrarese 1–0 Sampdoria
26/12/24 · Sampdoria 1–1 Carrarese

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.8%

Carrarese vs Sampdoria: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Carrarese vs Sampdoria?

On the result, our pick is Carrarese or draw (1X) (1.44); on goals, Both teams to score (1.73). Prefer less risk? Go for Carrarese or draw (1X).

Who will win Carrarese vs Sampdoria?

As we see it: Carrarese to win 38%, the draw 29%, Sampdoria to win 33%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

8 November 2026, 16:15, at Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara.

Who will be missing?

Carrarese: no absences. Sampdoria: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 50% chance (odds 1.98), against 50% for under 2.5 (odds 1.89).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.73).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.5%), 1–0 (10.0%), 0–1 (9.3%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Ascoli vs Palermo 6 NovCesena vs Catanzaro 7 NovPisa vs Südtirol 7 NovJuve Stabia vs Arezzo 7 NovPadova vs Empoli 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.