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Serie B · Matchweek 9 · 28 October 2026 · 19:00

Carrarese vs Arezzo tip, odds and prediction, 28 October 2026, Serie B

2–1
DLLWD
1Carrarese2.15
XDraw3.24
2Arezzo3.85

Top odds available · Updated 28/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Carrarese v Arezzo takes place on 28 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara); Maco Di Loreto will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Carrarese vs Arezzo: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Carrarese or draw (1X)
1.28
Goals
Both teams to score
1.80
74%chance of the result
53%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Carrarese vs Arezzo: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.153.243.85
Market average2.133.183.63
Lowest odds2.083.103.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.301.2773.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.981.9449.1%
Under 2.5 goals1.901.8750.9%
Over 3.5 goals3.403.2129.3%
BTTS – yes1.801.7553.1%
BTTS – no2.011.9846.9%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.1%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Carrarese 1–1 Arezzo, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Carrarese 15th (10 points), Arezzo 13th (11 points).
  • Form in the competition: Carrarese 2W 1D 5L (7:9), Arezzo 3W 1D 4L (8:17).
  • H2H: 10 matches: Carrarese 3W 3D 4L, goals 17–16.
  • Absences: Carrarese 0, Arezzo 0.

Who will win Carrarese vs Arezzo?

Carrarese44%
Draw30%
Arezzo26%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Carrarese vs Arezzo: more betting markets

Carrarese or draw (1X)74.0% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.28
Likely
Over 1.5 goals73.3% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.30
Likely
Under 3.5 goals70.7% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.34
Likely
Both teams score: yes53.1% · fair odds 1.88 · best 1.80
Possible
Under 2.5 goals50.9% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.90
Possible
Over 2.5 goals49.1% · fair odds 2.04 · best 1.98
Outsider
Both teams score: no46.9% · fair odds 2.13 · best 2.01
Outsider
Carrarese to win44.3% · fair odds 2.26 · best 2.15
Outsider
Draw29.7% · fair odds 3.37 · best 3.24
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals29.3% · fair odds 3.42 · best 3.40
Outsider
Arezzo to win26.0% · fair odds 3.85 · best 3.85
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.87 · Under 1.84
probability of over 49.6%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.3%
1 : 011.1%
2 : 19.2%
2 : 08.4%
0 : 18.2%
0 : 07.4%

Carrarese vs Arezzo: injuries, suspensions, absences

Carrarese

  • No reported absences

Arezzo

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Carrarese vs Arezzo: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Palermo108-2-024:1226
2Modena106-2-218:1020
3Ascoli105-4-116:619
4Mantova105-3-215:1118
5Avellino104-3-315:1015
6Benevento104-3-314:1015
7Hellas Verona104-3-319:1315
8Pisa104-3-318:1515
9Padova104-2-410:1114
10Südtirol103-5-211:1014
11Cremonese103-3-410:1112
12Cesena102-6-211:1412
13Arezzo103-2-59:1911
14Virtus Entella102-4-411:1210
15Carrarese103-1-69:1310
16Juve Stabia103-4-311:119
17Vicenza Virtus102-3-513:209
18Empoli102-2-610:178
19Sampdoria102-2-610:188
20Catanzaro101-3-611:226

Recent matches

Carrarese

1 NovLHellas Verona 3–0 Carrarese
28 OctWCarrarese 2–1 Arezzo
25 OctLPalermo 2–1 Carrarese
17 OctWCarrarese 2–1 Modena
11 OctWPadova 0–2 Carrarese

Arezzo

1 NovDArezzo 0–0 Ascoli
28 OctLCarrarese 2–1 Arezzo
24 OctLArezzo 0–3 Benevento
18 OctWSampdoria 1–2 Arezzo
10 OctDArezzo 0–0 Cremonese

Home and away

Carrarese at home5 matches: 2W 0D 3L, goals 5–6
Arezzo away5 matches: 3W 0D 2L, goals 6–9

Carrarese vs Arezzo: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Carrarese: 15th, 10 points from 10 matches (3W 1D 6L). Arezzo: 13th, 11 points (3W 2D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Carrarese 0.9 scored and 1.1 conceded, Arezzo 1.0 scored and 2.1 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Carrarese: 2W 1D 5L, goals 7–9; Arezzo: 3W 1D 4L, goals 8–17.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 10 meetings: Carrarese 3 wins, Arezzo 4 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 17–16.

What to expect

We make Carrarese the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.3%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.80), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 53% and over 2.5 goals is 49%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 10; Carrarese 3 wins, 3 draws, Arezzo 4 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.3 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Carrarese 7–9, Arezzo 8–17.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 49%.
  5. Not available: Carrarese 0, Arezzo 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 53%, odds up to 1.80). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Carrarese: no absences. Not available for Arezzo: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Carrarese vs Arezzo: the numbers side by side

CarrareseArezzo
46%Form54%
56%Attack44%
62%Defence38%
62%Head to head38%
63%Goals38%
55.8%Overall44.3%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

CarrareseLWLWW
ArezzoDLLWD

Carrarese vs Arezzo: head to head

All matches
3Carrarese
3Draws
4Arezzo
28/10/26 · Carrarese 2–1 Arezzo
14/1/24 · Carrarese 2–3 Arezzo
9/9/23 · Arezzo 1–3 Carrarese
17/11/19 · Carrarese 2–2 Arezzo
16/3/19 · Carrarese 3–0 Arezzo
19/11/18 · Arezzo 2–2 Carrarese

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.1%

Carrarese vs Arezzo: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Carrarese vs Arezzo?

On the result, our pick is Carrarese or draw (1X) (1.28); on goals, Both teams to score (1.80). Prefer less risk? Go for Carrarese or draw (1X).

Who will win Carrarese vs Arezzo?

As we see it: Carrarese to win 44%, the draw 30%, Arezzo to win 26%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

28 October 2026, 19:00, at Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara. Referee: Maco Di Loreto.

Who will be missing?

Carrarese: no absences. Arezzo: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 49% chance (odds 1.98), against 51% for under 2.5 (odds 1.90).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 53% (odds 1.80).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.3%), 1–0 (11.1%), 2–1 (9.2%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Ascoli vs Palermo 6 NovCesena vs Catanzaro 7 NovPisa vs Südtirol 7 NovJuve Stabia vs Arezzo 7 NovPadova vs Empoli 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.