Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Palermo entertain Carrarese on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Renzo Barbera (Palermo), with Mattia Drigo the man in the middle. Palermo (66%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Palermo vs Carrarese: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.45 | 5.01 | 7.00 |
| Market average | 1.42 | 4.70 | 6.52 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.14 | 81.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.51 | 61.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.43 | 38.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.32 | 40.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.68 | 55.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.16 | 2.08 | 44.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 12:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Palermo 2–0 Carrarese, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Palermo 1st (26 points), Carrarese 15th (10 points).
- H2H: 5 matches: Palermo 3W 1D 1L, goals 9–3.
- Absences: Palermo 0, Carrarese 0.
Who will win Palermo vs Carrarese?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Palermo vs Carrarese: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Palermo vs Carrarese: injuries, suspensions, absences
Palermo
- No reported absences
Carrarese
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Palermo vs Carrarese: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Palermo
Home and away
Palermo vs Carrarese: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Palermo: 1st, 26 points from 10 matches (8W 2D 0L). Carrarese: 15th, 10 points (3W 1D 6L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 5 meetings: Palermo 3 wins, Carrarese 1 win, plus 1 draw; goals 9–3.
What to expect
We make Palermo the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (10.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.60), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 62%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 5; Palermo 3 wins, 1 draw, Carrarese 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.4 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Not available: Palermo 0, Carrarese 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Palermo: no absences. Not available for Carrarese: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Palermo vs Carrarese: head to head
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Palermo vs Carrarese: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Palermo vs Carrarese?
On the result, our pick is Palermo to win (1.45); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.60). Prefer less risk? Go for Palermo or draw (1X).
Who will win Palermo vs Carrarese?
As we see it: Palermo to win 66%, the draw 20%, Carrarese to win 14%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 14:00, at Renzo Barbera, Palermo. Referee: Mattia Drigo.
Who will be missing?
Palermo: no absences. Carrarese: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 62% chance (odds 1.60), against 38% for under 2.5 (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.75).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–0 (10.4%), 2–1 (9.9%), 1–0 (9.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.