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League Two · Matchweek 12 · 20 October 2026 · 19:45

Barnet vs Swindon Town tip, odds and prediction, 20 October 2026, League Two

DWDLW
1–3
1Barnet1.50
XDraw4.92
2Swindon Town6.50

Top odds available · Updated 20/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Barnet entertain Swindon Town on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at The Hive Stadium (London), with B. Atkinson the man in the middle. Barnet (64%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Barnet vs Swindon Town: tip and prediction
Result
Barnet to win
1.50
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.52
Combo
Barnet & over 2.5 goals
2.20
46% · fair combo odds
64%chance of the result
63%goals tip: chance
2–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Barnet or draw (1X) – probability 84%, odds up to 1.17.

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Barnet vs Swindon Town: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.504.926.50
Market average1.464.555.85
Lowest odds1.444.195.13
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.161.1382.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.521.4763.1%
Under 2.5 goals2.672.5136.9%
Over 3.5 goals2.252.2042.5%
BTTS – yes1.621.5958.3%
BTTS – no2.382.2341.7%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.8%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Barnet 2–1 Swindon Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Barnet 2nd (26 points), Swindon Town 13th (19 points).
  • Absences: Barnet 0, Swindon Town 0.

Who will win Barnet vs Swindon Town?

Barnet64%
Draw20%
Swindon Town16%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Barnet vs Swindon Town: more betting markets

Barnet or draw (1X)84.1% · fair odds 1.19 · best 1.17
Likely
Over 1.5 goals82.4% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.16
Likely
Barnet to win63.7% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.50
Likely
Over 2.5 goals63.1% · fair odds 1.59 · best 1.52
Likely
Both teams score: yes58.3% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.62
Possible
Under 3.5 goals57.5% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.66
Possible
Over 3.5 goals42.5% · fair odds 2.36 · best 2.25
Outsider
Both teams score: no41.7% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.38
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals36.9% · fair odds 2.71 · best 2.67
Outsider
Draw20.4% · fair odds 4.90 · best 4.92
Outsider
Swindon Town to win15.9% · fair odds 6.29 · best 6.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.73 · Under 2.01
probability of over 53.8%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 19.9%
2 : 09.4%
1 : 19.0%
1 : 08.5%
3 : 17.2%
3 : 06.9%

Barnet vs Swindon Town: injuries, suspensions, absences

Barnet

  • No reported absences

Swindon Town

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Barnet vs Swindon Town: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Salford City1410-1-325:1531
2Barnet137-5-128:1826
3Walsall135-7-121:1222
4Crewe145-7-217:1722
5Cheltenham146-3-523:2521
6Grimsby145-5-424:1820
7York145-5-424:2120
8Gillingham145-5-420:1920
9Accrington ST144-7-323:1719
10Chesterfield145-4-524:2119
11Tranmere144-7-319:1719
12Exeter City145-4-511:919
13Swindon Town145-4-515:1719
14Newport County144-6-420:1718
15Shrewsbury145-3-617:2218
16Fleetwood Town144-5-518:1817
17Bristol Rovers145-1-817:2316
18Port Vale124-3-510:1415
19Rochdale144-3-717:2615
20Northampton123-5-49:914
21Oldham133-3-714:1912
22Rotherham142-6-618:2512
23Colchester132-6-512:1912
24Crawley Town122-3-713:219

Recent matches

Barnet

31 OctDCrewe 1–1 Barnet
27 OctWBarnet 3–1 York
24 OctDBarnet 1–1 Oldham
20 OctLBarnet 1–3 Swindon Town
17 OctWTranmere 1–2 Barnet

Swindon Town

31 OctWSwindon Town 2–1 Rotherham
24 OctDBristol Rovers 0–0 Swindon Town
20 OctWBarnet 1–3 Swindon Town
17 OctDSwindon Town 1–1 Walsall
10 OctLSwindon Town 0–1 Crewe

Home and away

Barnet at home7 matches: 4W 2D 1L, goals 15–10
Swindon Town away7 matches: 1W 2D 4L, goals 3–10

Barnet vs Swindon Town: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Barnet: 2nd, 26 points from 13 matches (7W 5D 1L). Swindon Town: 13th, 19 points (5W 4D 5L).

What to expect

We make Barnet the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 63%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 63%.
  2. Not available: Barnet 0, Swindon Town 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 58%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Barnet: no absences. Not available for Swindon Town: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.8%

Barnet vs Swindon Town: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Barnet vs Swindon Town?

On the result, our pick is Barnet to win (1.50); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.52). Prefer less risk? Go for Barnet or draw (1X).

Who will win Barnet vs Swindon Town?

As we see it: Barnet to win 64%, the draw 20%, Swindon Town to win 16%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

20 October 2026, 19:45, at The Hive Stadium, London. Referee: B. Atkinson.

Who will be missing?

Barnet: no absences. Swindon Town: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 63% chance (odds 1.52), against 37% for under 2.5 (odds 2.67).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.62).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–1 (9.9%), 2–0 (9.4%), 1–1 (9.0%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.