Bet with MINO CASINO →1. FC Köln entertain Bayer Leverkusen on 8 November 2026 · 14:30 at RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne). Bayer Leverkusen (55%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 4.41 | 4.57 | 1.76 |
| Market average | 4.15 | 4.24 | 1.69 |
| Lowest odds | 3.84 | 3.95 | 1.63 |
| Megapari | 4.21 | 4.45 | 1.81 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.10 | 84.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.39 | 67.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.89 | 32.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.06 | 2.01 | 47.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.41 | 65.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.71 | 34.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.8%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 12:56. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: 1. FC Köln 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: 1. FC Köln 13th (9 points), Bayer Leverkusen 6th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: 1. FC Köln 2W 3D 3L (9:12), Bayer Leverkusen 4W 1D 3L (18:16).
- H2H: 25 matches: 1. FC Köln 7W 4D 14L, goals 30–47.
- Absences: 1. FC Köln 0, Bayer Leverkusen 0.
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: injuries, suspensions, absences
1. FC Köln
- No reported absences
Bayer Leverkusen
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
1. FC Köln
Home and away
1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. 1. FC Köln: 13th, 9 points from 8 matches (2W 3D 3L). Bayer Leverkusen: 6th, 13 points (4W 1D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: 1. FC Köln 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded, Bayer Leverkusen 2.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. 1. FC Köln: 2W 3D 3L, goals 9–12; Bayer Leverkusen: 4W 1D 3L, goals 18–16.
- Head to head. Head to head over 25 meetings: 1. FC Köln 7 wins, Bayer Leverkusen 14 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 30–47.
What to expect
We make Bayer Leverkusen the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (9.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.89), with a probability of 52% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 66% and over 2.5 goals is 68%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 25; 1. FC Köln 7 wins, 4 draws, Bayer Leverkusen 14 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.1 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: 1. FC Köln 9–12, Bayer Leverkusen 18–16.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 68%.
- Not available: 1. FC Köln 0, Bayer Leverkusen 0.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Other option: Over 3.5 goals (probability 48%, odds up to 2.06). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for 1. FC Köln: no absences. Not available for Bayer Leverkusen: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
1. FC KölnDDLWLBayer LeverkusenLLWWW1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: head to head
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1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen?
On the result, our pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win (1.76); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.89). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Bayer Leverkusen (X2).
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen?
As we see it: 1. FC Köln to win 23%, the draw 22%, Bayer Leverkusen to win 55%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
8 November 2026, 14:30, at RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne.
Who will be missing?
1. FC Köln: no absences. Bayer Leverkusen: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 68% chance (odds 1.42), against 32% for under 2.5 (odds 3.00).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 66% (odds 1.44).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–2 (9.4%), 1–1 (8.8%), 0–2 (7.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.