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League of Ireland Premier Division · Matchweek 33 · 19 October 2026 · 19:45

Waterford vs Galway United tip, odds and prediction, 19 October 2026, League of Ireland Premier Division

3–2
1Waterford1.86
XDraw4.70
2Galway United4.77

Top odds available · Updated 19/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Waterford entertain Galway United on 19 October 2026 · 19:45 at Regional Sports Centre (Waterford), with O. Moran the man in the middle. Waterford (57%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Waterford vs Galway United: tip and prediction
Result
Waterford to win
1.86
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.57
Combo
Waterford & over 2.5 goals
2.51
40% · fair combo odds
57%chance of the result
61%goals tip: chance
2–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Waterford or draw (1X) – probability 80%, odds up to 1.25.

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Waterford vs Galway United: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.864.704.77
Market average1.624.214.56
Lowest odds1.573.433.31
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.171.1481.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.571.5161.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.552.3938.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.402.3240.2%
BTTS – yes1.601.5758.8%
BTTS – no2.282.2541.2%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 19/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.1%.

All bookmakers →

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Waterford 2–1 Galway United, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Waterford 7th (43 points), Galway United 8th (42 points).
  • H2H: 22 matches: Waterford 6W 6D 10L, goals 28–30.
  • Absences: Waterford 0, Galway United 0.

Who will win Waterford vs Galway United?

Waterford57%
Draw22%
Galway United20%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Waterford vs Galway United: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals81.1% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.17
Likely
Waterford or draw (1X)79.5% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.25
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.2% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.57
Likely
Under 3.5 goals59.8% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.62
Possible
Both teams score: yes58.8% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.60
Possible
Waterford to win57.4% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.86
Possible
Both teams score: no41.2% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.28
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals40.2% · fair odds 2.49 · best 2.40
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.8% · fair odds 2.58 · best 2.55
Outsider
Draw22.1% · fair odds 4.52 · best 4.70
Outsider
Galway United to win20.5% · fair odds 4.88 · best 4.77
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.81 · Under 1.92
probability of over 51.4%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 19.9%
1 : 19.9%
2 : 08.6%
1 : 08.6%
3 : 16.6%
3 : 05.7%

Waterford vs Galway United: injuries, suspensions, absences

Waterford

  • No reported absences

Galway United

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Waterford vs Galway United: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Shamrock Rovers3620-8-859:3868
2Bohemians3619-8-963:4465
3St Patrick's Athl.3617-9-1055:3160
4Shelbourne3612-13-1152:5049
5Derry City3611-15-1050:4748
6Dundalk3611-12-1355:5945
7Waterford3610-13-1354:6143
8Galway United3610-12-1446:5342
9Drogheda United3610-10-1644:5740
10Sligo Rovers365-10-2128:6625

Recent matches

Waterford

30 OctWShelbourne 2–3 Waterford
23 OctWWaterford 3–1 Drogheda United
19 OctWWaterford 3–2 Galway United
16 OctLBohemians 2–1 Waterford
18 SeptLShamrock Rovers 3–2 Waterford

Galway United

30 OctLDrogheda United 2–0 Galway United
23 OctDGalway United 0–0 St Patrick's Athl.
19 OctLWaterford 3–2 Galway United
16 OctWGalway United 2–0 Shamrock Rovers
25 SeptDGalway United 1–1 Shelbourne

Home and away

Waterford at home18 matches: 6W 9D 3L, goals 28–22
Galway United away18 matches: 4W 5D 9L, goals 21–28

Waterford vs Galway United: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Waterford: 7th, 43 points from 36 matches (10W 13D 13L). Galway United: 8th, 42 points (10W 12D 14L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 22 meetings: Waterford 6 wins, Galway United 10 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 28–30.

What to expect

We make Waterford the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), with a probability of 61% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 61%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 22; Waterford 6 wins, 6 draws, Galway United 10 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 61%.
  4. Not available: Waterford 0, Galway United 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Waterford: no absences. Not available for Galway United: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Waterford vs Galway United: head to head

All matches
6Waterford
6Draws
10Galway United
19/10/26 · Waterford 3–2 Galway United
25/7/26 · Galway United 0–0 Waterford
24/4/26 · Waterford 1–1 Galway United
16/3/26 · Galway United 4–3 Waterford
1/11/25 · Waterford 1–1 Galway United
25/7/25 · Galway United 2–4 Waterford

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.1%

Waterford vs Galway United: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Waterford vs Galway United?

On the result, our pick is Waterford to win (1.86); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.57). Prefer less risk? Go for Waterford or draw (1X).

Who will win Waterford vs Galway United?

As we see it: Waterford to win 57%, the draw 22%, Galway United to win 20%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

19 October 2026, 19:45, at Regional Sports Centre, Waterford. Referee: O. Moran.

Who will be missing?

Waterford: no absences. Galway United: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 61% chance (odds 1.57), against 39% for under 2.5 (odds 2.55).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.60).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–1 (9.9%), 1–1 (9.9%), 2–0 (8.6%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.