Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Shelbourne entertain Waterford on 30 October 2026 · 19:45 at Tolka Park (Dublin). Shelbourne (45%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Shelbourne vs Waterford: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.14 | 3.93 | 3.18 |
| Market average | 2.05 | 3.74 | 3.06 |
| Lowest odds | 1.99 | 3.28 | 2.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.13 | 82.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.48 | 62.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.50 | 37.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.28 | 2.22 | 42.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.45 | 1.43 | 64.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.70 | 2.61 | 35.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 30/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Shelbourne 1–1 Waterford, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Shelbourne 4th (49 points), Waterford 7th (43 points).
- Form in the competition: Shelbourne 12W 13D 10L (50:47), Waterford 9W 13D 13L (51:59).
- H2H: 16 matches: Shelbourne 9W 3D 4L, goals 22–14.
- Absences: Shelbourne 0, Waterford 0.
Who will win Shelbourne vs Waterford?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Shelbourne vs Waterford: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Shelbourne vs Waterford: injuries, suspensions, absences
Shelbourne
- No reported absences
Waterford
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Shelbourne vs Waterford: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 20-8-8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 2 |  Bohemians | 36 | 19-8-9 | 63:44 | 65 |
| 3 |  St Patrick's Athl. | 36 | 17-9-10 | 55:31 | 60 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 36 | 12-13-11 | 52:50 | 49 |
| 5 |  Derry City | 36 | 11-15-10 | 50:47 | 48 |
| 6 |  Dundalk | 36 | 11-12-13 | 55:59 | 45 |
| 7 | Waterford | 36 | 10-13-13 | 54:61 | 43 |
| 8 |  Galway United | 36 | 10-12-14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 36 | 10-10-16 | 44:57 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5-10-21 | 28:66 | 25 |
Recent matches
Shelbourne
Home and away
Shelbourne vs Waterford: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Shelbourne: 4th, 49 points from 36 matches (12W 13D 11L). Waterford: 7th, 43 points (10W 13D 13L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Shelbourne 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded, Waterford 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Shelbourne: 12W 13D 10L, goals 50–47; Waterford: 9W 13D 13L, goals 51–59.
- Head to head. Head to head over 16 meetings: Shelbourne 9 wins, Waterford 4 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 22–14.
What to expect
We make Shelbourne the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.1%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.45), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 65% and over 2.5 goals is 63%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 16; Shelbourne 9 wins, 3 draws, Waterford 4 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Shelbourne 50–47, Waterford 51–59.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 63%.
- Not available: Shelbourne 0, Waterford 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 63%, odds up to 1.52). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Shelbourne: no absences. Not available for Waterford: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Shelbourne vs Waterford: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
ShelbourneLWWWDWaterfordWWWLLShelbourne vs Waterford: head to head
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Shelbourne vs Waterford: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Shelbourne vs Waterford?
On the result, our pick is Shelbourne to win (2.14); on goals, Both teams to score (1.45). Prefer less risk? Go for Shelbourne or draw (1X).
Who will win Shelbourne vs Waterford?
As we see it: Shelbourne to win 45%, the draw 25%, Waterford to win 30%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
30 October 2026, 19:45, at Tolka Park, Dublin.
Who will be missing?
Shelbourne: no absences. Waterford: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 63% chance (odds 1.52), against 37% for under 2.5 (odds 2.63).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 65% (odds 1.45).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.1%), 2–1 (9.1%), 1–2 (7.3%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.