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League of Ireland Premier Division · Matchweek 35 · 23 October 2026 · 19:45

Waterford vs Drogheda United tip, odds and prediction, 23 October 2026, League of Ireland Premier Division

1Waterford1.87
XDraw3.90
2Drogheda United4.80

Top odds available · Updated 23/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Waterford entertain Drogheda United on 23 October 2026 · 19:45 at Regional Sports Centre (Waterford), with R. Hennessy the man in the middle. Waterford (55%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Waterford vs Drogheda United: tip and prediction
Result
Waterford to win
1.87
Goals
Both teams to score
1.75
Combo
Waterford & over 2.5 goals
2.83
35% · fair combo odds
55%chance of the result
54%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Waterford or draw (1X) – probability 80%, odds up to 1.21.

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Waterford vs Drogheda United: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.873.904.80
Market average1.683.794.65
Lowest odds1.623.704.19
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2176.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.791.7453.8%
Under 2.5 goals2.082.0346.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.922.8033.0%
BTTS – yes1.751.7154.0%
BTTS – no2.052.0246.0%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 23/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.6%.

All bookmakers →

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Waterford 1–1 Drogheda United, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Waterford 7th (43 points), Drogheda United 9th (40 points).
  • H2H: 16 matches: Waterford 7W 4D 5L, goals 23–25.
  • Absences: Waterford 0, Drogheda United 0.

Who will win Waterford vs Drogheda United?

Waterford55%
Draw25%
Drogheda United20%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Waterford vs Drogheda United: more betting markets

Waterford or draw (1X)80.0% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.21
Likely
Over 1.5 goals76.4% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals67.0% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.42
Likely
Waterford to win55.4% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.87
Possible
Both teams score: yes54.0% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.75
Possible
Over 2.5 goals53.8% · fair odds 1.86 · best 1.79
Possible
Under 2.5 goals46.2% · fair odds 2.17 · best 2.08
Outsider
Both teams score: no46.0% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.05
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.0% · fair odds 3.03 · best 2.92
Outsider
Draw24.6% · fair odds 4.07 · best 3.90
Outsider
Drogheda United to win20.0% · fair odds 4.99 · best 4.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.81 · Under 1.91
probability of over 51.3%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.9%
1 : 010.9%
2 : 19.9%
2 : 09.9%
0 : 16.1%
0 : 06.1%

Waterford vs Drogheda United: injuries, suspensions, absences

Waterford

  • No reported absences

Drogheda United

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Waterford vs Drogheda United: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Shamrock Rovers3620-8-859:3868
2Bohemians3619-8-963:4465
3St Patrick's Athl.3617-9-1055:3160
4Shelbourne3612-13-1152:5049
5Derry City3611-15-1050:4748
6Dundalk3611-12-1355:5945
7Waterford3610-13-1354:6143
8Galway United3610-12-1446:5342
9Drogheda United3610-10-1644:5740
10Sligo Rovers365-10-2128:6625

Recent matches

Waterford

30 OctWShelbourne 2–3 Waterford
23 OctWWaterford 3–1 Drogheda United
19 OctWWaterford 3–2 Galway United
16 OctLBohemians 2–1 Waterford
18 SeptLShamrock Rovers 3–2 Waterford

Drogheda United

30 OctWDrogheda United 2–0 Galway United
23 OctLWaterford 3–1 Drogheda United
16 OctWDrogheda United 2–0 Derry City
8 OctLShamrock Rovers 3–1 Drogheda United
18 SeptLBohemians 2–1 Drogheda United

Home and away

Waterford at home18 matches: 6W 9D 3L, goals 28–22
Drogheda United away18 matches: 4W 4D 10L, goals 22–36

Waterford vs Drogheda United: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Waterford: 7th, 43 points from 36 matches (10W 13D 13L). Drogheda United: 9th, 40 points (10W 10D 16L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 16 meetings: Waterford 7 wins, Drogheda United 5 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 23–25.

What to expect

We make Waterford the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.9%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.75), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 54%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 16; Waterford 7 wins, 4 draws, Drogheda United 5 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 54%.
  4. Not available: Waterford 0, Drogheda United 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.75). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Waterford: no absences. Not available for Drogheda United: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Waterford vs Drogheda United: head to head

All matches
7Waterford
4Draws
5Drogheda United
23/10/26 · Waterford 3–1 Drogheda United
29/5/26 · Drogheda United 3–3 Waterford
18/5/26 · Waterford 2–1 Drogheda United
13/2/26 · Drogheda United 2–0 Waterford
5/10/25 · Waterford 2–0 Drogheda United
8/8/25 · Drogheda United 0–0 Waterford

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.6%

Waterford vs Drogheda United: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Waterford vs Drogheda United?

On the result, our pick is Waterford to win (1.87); on goals, Both teams to score (1.75). Prefer less risk? Go for Waterford or draw (1X).

Who will win Waterford vs Drogheda United?

As we see it: Waterford to win 55%, the draw 25%, Drogheda United to win 20%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

23 October 2026, 19:45, at Regional Sports Centre, Waterford. Referee: R. Hennessy.

Who will be missing?

Waterford: no absences. Drogheda United: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 54% chance (odds 1.79), against 46% for under 2.5 (odds 2.08).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.75).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.9%), 1–0 (10.9%), 2–1 (9.9%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.