Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Saint-Étienne entertain Nantes on 24 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne), with Gaël Angoula, France the man in the middle. Saint-Étienne (55%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.75 | 3.95 | 4.96 |
| Market average | 1.70 | 3.81 | 4.59 |
| Lowest odds | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.33 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.22 | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.74 | 54.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.05 | 46.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.85 | 32.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.04 | 45.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Saint-Étienne 1–1 Nantes, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Saint-Étienne 1st (25 points), Nantes 15th (9 points).
- H2H: 21 matches: Saint-Étienne 8W 10D 3L, goals 29–18.
- Absences: Saint-Étienne 0, Nantes 0.
Who will win Saint-Étienne vs Nantes?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: injuries, suspensions, absences
Saint-Étienne
- No reported absences
Nantes
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6-1-3 | 12:8 | 19 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4-6-0 | 20:12 | 18 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:12 | 17 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 | |
| 8 | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 2-5-3 | 8:12 | 11 | |
| 14 | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 | |
| 15 | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 | |
| 17 | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 | |
| 18 | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Saint-Étienne
Home and away
Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Saint-Étienne: 1st, 25 points from 11 matches (8W 1D 2L). Nantes: 15th, 9 points (2W 3D 6L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 21 meetings: Saint-Étienne 8 wins, Nantes 3 wins, plus 10 draws; goals 29–18.
What to expect
We make Saint-Étienne the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.73), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 54%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 21; Saint-Étienne 8 wins, 10 draws, Nantes 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.2 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 54%.
- Not available: Saint-Étienne 0, Nantes 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 55%, odds up to 1.73). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Saint-Étienne: no absences. Not available for Nantes: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: head to head
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Saint-Étienne vs Nantes: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Saint-Étienne vs Nantes?
On the result, our pick is Saint-Étienne to win (1.75); on goals, Both teams to score (1.73). Prefer less risk? Go for Saint-Étienne or draw (1X).
Who will win Saint-Étienne vs Nantes?
As we see it: Saint-Étienne to win 55%, the draw 25%, Nantes to win 20%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 19:45, at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne. Referee: Gaël Angoula, France.
Who will be missing?
Saint-Étienne: no absences. Nantes: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 54% chance (odds 1.80), against 46% for under 2.5 (odds 2.10).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.73).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.9%), 1–0 (10.9%), 2–1 (9.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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