Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Guingamp v Saint-Étienne takes place on 31 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stade de Roudourou (Guingamp); Benoit Millot will referee. We back Saint-Étienne (51%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 4.41 | 3.79 | 1.90 |
| Market average | 4.04 | 3.57 | 1.81 |
| Lowest odds | 3.26 | 3.17 | 1.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.23 | 75.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.82 | 1.79 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.99 | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.90 | 32.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.68 | 55.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.06 | 44.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 17:08. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Guingamp 1–1 Saint-Étienne, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Guingamp 9th (14 points), Saint-Étienne 1st (25 points).
- Form in the competition: Guingamp 3W 2D 5L (13:15), Saint-Étienne 8W 1D 1L (23:8).
- H2H: 19 matches: Guingamp 6W 2D 11L, goals 22–28.
- Absences: Guingamp 0, Saint-Étienne 0.
Who will win Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: injuries, suspensions, absences
Guingamp
- No reported absences
Saint-Étienne
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6-1-3 | 12:8 | 19 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4-6-0 | 20:12 | 18 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:12 | 17 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 | |
| 8 | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 2-5-3 | 8:12 | 11 | |
| 14 | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 | |
| 15 | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 | |
| 17 | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 | |
| 18 | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Guingamp
Home and away
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Guingamp: 9th, 14 points from 11 matches (4W 2D 5L). Saint-Étienne: 1st, 25 points (8W 1D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Guingamp 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded, Saint-Étienne 2.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Guingamp: 3W 2D 5L, goals 13–15; Saint-Étienne: 8W 1D 1L, goals 23–8.
- Head to head. Head to head over 19 meetings: Guingamp 6 wins, Saint-Étienne 11 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 22–28.
What to expect
We make Saint-Étienne the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.70), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 53%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 19; Guingamp 6 wins, 2 draws, Saint-Étienne 11 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Guingamp 13–15, Saint-Étienne 23–8.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Not available: Guingamp 0, Saint-Étienne 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 55%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Guingamp: no absences. Not available for Saint-Étienne: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne?
On the result, our pick is Saint-Étienne to win (1.90); on goals, Both teams to score (1.70). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Saint-Étienne (X2).
Who will win Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne?
As we see it: Guingamp to win 23%, the draw 26%, Saint-Étienne to win 51%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 19:00, at Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp. Referee: Benoit Millot.
Who will be missing?
Guingamp: no absences. Saint-Étienne: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 53% chance (odds 1.82), against 47% for under 2.5 (odds 2.06).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.70).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.4%), 0–1 (10.3%), 1–2 (9.7%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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