Bet with Mino Casino →Our tip for Republic of Ireland vs Kosovo (UEFA Nations League, 17 November 2026, 19:45): Republic of Ireland to win at odds of 1.90. Second tip: Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.55. The bookmakers' odds give Republic of Ireland 50%, the draw 28% and Kosovo 22%. The most likely score is 1–0.
Republic of Ireland vs Kosovo prediction and betting preview
Our tip for the UEFA Nations League, Matchweek 6, is Republic of Ireland to win at home against Kosovo at odds 1.87. The bookmakers' odds give Republic of Ireland a 49% chance, and we think that price is fair for a side that has been hard to beat on its own ground. The match kicks off on 17 November 2026 at 19:45.
Main facts
- Likely result: Republic of Ireland 1–0 Kosovo, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Republic of Ireland 3rd (5 points), Kosovo 2nd (5 points).
- Form in the competition: Republic of Ireland 1W 2D 1L (6:4), Kosovo 1W 2D 1L (3:4).
- H2H: 1 match: Republic of Ireland 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–1.
- Absences: Republic of Ireland 0, Kosovo 0.
Ireland's home form carries the main tip
Republic of Ireland sit third in this competition with 5 points from 4 matches, one win, two draws and one defeat. Kosovo are second on the same 5 points, so the table is close and the gap between the sides is not in the standings. What separates them for us is what happens at home. Republic of Ireland have not won at home in this competition yet, but they have not lost there either. That is a side that does not fall apart in front of its own crowd.
Kosovo, on the other hand, have struggled to turn their games into points. Their scoring rate in this competition is 0.8 goals per match, and that is the number that makes us hesitate before backing them to win at home. We like the way Ireland have kept the scoreboard ticking over, scoring 6 and conceding 4 in their four games.
- Republic of Ireland lost only 1 of their last 4 matches, which tells us they have been difficult to beat even when the results have been uneven.
- Kosovo won only 1 of their last 4 matches, and that is a poor return for a side we are asked to back on the road.
- Republic of Ireland have drawn both of their home matches in this competition, and they have yet to lose one.
- The bookmakers rate Republic of Ireland at 49% at best odds of 1.87, and we think the price is still value.
The last meeting went Kosovo's way, 1-0 in Kosovo, so this is not a fixture Ireland can take lightly. We do not think one result in September changes the picture, though. The main tip wins on 1-0, 2-0 and 2-1 for Ireland, and it loses on 1-1 and 0-0 as well as on a 0-1 defeat. The most likely exact score in the market is 1-0, which is a winning result for us, but a 1-1 would send the stake down the drain.
Standings and form
League B – Group C
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Austria | 4 | 2-2-0 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 2 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1-2-1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 3 |  Republic of Ireland | 4 | 1-2-1 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 4 |  Israel | 4 | 0-2-2 | 2:7 | 2 |
Recent matches
Republic of Ireland
Home and away
Why the under 2.5 is our second string
Our second tip is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.55, which the bookmakers price at a 59% chance. The reasoning is simple. Republic of Ireland have had more than 2.5 goals in only 2 of their last 4 matches, and Kosovo have had more than 2.5 goals in only 1 of their last 4.
The expected total in the market is about 2 goals, with both teams expected to score 1 each. That sits comfortably below the 2.5 line, and it is why we are happy to back the under. The under wins on 1-0, 1-1, 0-0, 2-0 and 0-1, and it loses on a 2-1.
Republic of Ireland vs Kosovo: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Score prediction
Reading the bookmakers' numbers around the match
The bookmakers' margin on the match result is 8.5%, which is a reminder that the prices carry a cost. The chances for the match result are 49% for Republic of Ireland, 27% for a draw and 24% for Kosovo. The over 1.5 goals is priced at a 67% chance, and the over 2.5 goals at 41%. Both teams to score is 45% for yes and 55% for no. Those numbers describe what the bookmakers expect from the match, not what has happened in the past. We do not recommend any bets beyond the two tips.
Taken together, the picture is of a home side that has been harder to beat than its scoring suggests, against a visitor that has found winning difficult. We would not back Kosovo to win on the road at these odds, and we would back Ireland to win, while keeping an eye on the total.
Republic of Ireland vs Kosovo: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.90 | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| Market average | 1.88 | 3.36 | 4.28 |
| Lowest odds | 1.87 | 3.30 | 3.92 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.36 | 1.36 | 67.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.32 | 39.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.53 | 60.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.15 | 2.09 | 44.4% |
| BTTS – no | 1.67 | 1.67 | 55.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 13/11/26, 08:07. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.4%.
Republic of Ireland vs Kosovo: last matches of both teams
Republic of Ireland
Kosovo
Match odds
Who will win Republic of Ireland vs Kosovo?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Republic of Ireland vs Kosovo: injuries, suspensions, absences
Republic of Ireland
- No reported absences
Kosovo
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Republic of IrelandDDWLKosovoDDLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which bet do we recommend for Republic of Ireland vs Kosovo?
Republic of Ireland to win (1.90); Under 2.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win Republic of Ireland vs Kosovo?
As we see it: Republic of Ireland to win 50%, the draw 28%, Kosovo to win 22%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
17 November 2026, 19:45, at to be confirmed.
Who will be missing?
Republic of Ireland: no absences. Kosovo: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 40% chance (odds 2.40), against 60% for under 2.5 (odds 1.55).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 44% (odds 2.15).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–0 (14.8%), 1–1 (12.5%), 0–0 (10.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.