Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Pisa v Palermo takes place on 28 October 2026 · 18:00 at Arena Garibaldi (Pizza); Daniele Chiffi will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Pisa vs Palermo: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.34 | 3.38 | 3.21 |
| Market average | 2.29 | 3.32 | 3.08 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.28 | 3.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.19 | 78.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.68 | 56.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.17 | 43.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.87 | 2.58 | 36.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.52 | 60.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.37 | 39.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Pisa 1–1 Palermo, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Pisa 8th (15 points), Palermo 1st (26 points).
- Form in the competition: Pisa 4W 2D 2L (15:10), Palermo 7W 1D 0L (18:8).
- H2H: 8 matches: Pisa 4W 3D 1L, goals 22–14.
- Absences: Pisa 0, Palermo 0.
Who will win Pisa vs Palermo?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Pisa vs Palermo: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Pisa vs Palermo: injuries, suspensions, absences
Pisa
- No reported absences
Palermo
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Pisa vs Palermo: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Pisa
Home and away
Pisa vs Palermo: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Pisa: 8th, 15 points from 10 matches (4W 3D 3L). Palermo: 1st, 26 points (8W 2D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Pisa 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded, Palermo 2.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Pisa: 4W 2D 2L, goals 15–10; Palermo: 7W 1D 0L, goals 18–8.
- Head to head. Head to head over 8 meetings: Pisa 4 wins, Palermo 1 win, plus 3 draws; goals 22–14.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.5%). We expect goals and an open game.
The two signals clash: on table position the Palermo look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 61% and over 2.5 goals is 56%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 8; Pisa 4 wins, 3 draws, Palermo 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 4.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Pisa 15–10, Palermo 18–8.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Not available: Pisa 0, Palermo 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 61%, odds up to 1.53). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Pisa: no absences. Not available for Palermo: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Pisa vs Palermo: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
PisaLDDWWPalermoWDWWWPisa vs Palermo: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Pisa vs Palermo: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Pisa vs Palermo?
On the result, our pick is Pisa or draw (1X) (1.40); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Pisa or draw (1X).
Who will win Pisa vs Palermo?
As we see it: Pisa to win 41%, the draw 28%, Palermo to win 31%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
28 October 2026, 18:00, at Arena Garibaldi, Pizza. Referee: Daniele Chiffi.
Who will be missing?
Pisa: no absences. Palermo: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 56% chance (odds 1.76), against 44% for under 2.5 (odds 2.20).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 61% (odds 1.53).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.5%), 2–1 (8.9%), 1–0 (8.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.