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Ligue 2 · Matchweek 9 · 19 October 2026 · 19:45

Rodez vs Montpellier tip, odds and prediction, 19 October 2026, Ligue 2

WWLLL
0–3
1Rodez3.35
XDraw3.85
2Montpellier2.24

Top odds available · Updated 19/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Rodez v Montpellier takes place on 19 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Paul Lignon (Rodez); Geoffrey Kubler will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Rodez vs Montpellier: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Montpellier (X2)
1.38
Goals
Both teams to score
1.57
70%chance of the result
62%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Rodez vs Montpellier: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.353.852.24
Market average3.073.572.11
Lowest odds2.663.242.05
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1680.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.651.5759.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.422.3040.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.662.4338.6%
BTTS – yes1.571.5062.1%
BTTS – no2.562.4537.9%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 19/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.1%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Rodez 1–1 Montpellier, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Rodez 11th (13 points), Montpellier 2nd (24 points).
  • Absences: Rodez 0, Montpellier 0.

Who will win Rodez vs Montpellier?

Rodez30%
Draw26%
Montpellier44%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Rodez vs Montpellier: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals80.4% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.20
Likely
Draw or Montpellier (X2)69.8% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.38
Likely
Both teams score: yes62.1% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.57
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.4% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.60
Likely
Over 2.5 goals59.4% · fair odds 1.68 · best 1.65
Possible
Montpellier to win43.8% · fair odds 2.28 · best 2.24
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals40.6% · fair odds 2.46 · best 2.42
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.6% · fair odds 2.59 · best 2.66
Outsider
Both teams score: no37.9% · fair odds 2.64 · best 2.56
Outsider
Rodez to win30.2% · fair odds 3.31 · best 3.35
Outsider
Draw26.0% · fair odds 3.85 · best 3.85
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.79 · Under 1.95
probability of over 52.1%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.1%
1 : 29.1%
0 : 18.2%
2 : 17.5%
0 : 26.8%
1 : 06.7%

Rodez vs Montpellier: injuries, suspensions, absences

Rodez

  • No reported absences

Montpellier

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Rodez vs Montpellier: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Saint-Étienne118-1-223:1125
2Montpellier117-3-116:624
3PAU116-2-316:1120
4Nancy106-1-312:819
5Reims104-6-020:1218
6RED Star FC 93105-2-313:1217
7Annecy115-1-514:1516
8Dijon114-3-420:1915
9Guingamp114-2-516:1514
10Metz113-5-317:1714
11Rodez114-1-617:2213
12Dunkerque113-3-514:1712
13Sochaux102-5-38:1211
14Boulogne111-7-37:810
15Nantes112-3-612:189
16Laval112-3-614:219
17Clermont Foot110-8-310:158
18Grenoble112-2-710:208

Recent matches

Rodez

30 OctWRodez 1–0 Dunkerque
24 OctWDijon 1–2 Rodez
19 OctLRodez 0–3 Montpellier
10 OctLSaint-Étienne 2–0 Rodez
18 SeptLRodez 3–4 Nancy

Montpellier

31 OctWAnnecy 0–3 Montpellier
26 OctWMontpellier 2–1 RED Star FC 93
19 OctWRodez 0–3 Montpellier
9 OctWMontpellier 2–0 Grenoble
18 SeptDReims 1–1 Montpellier

Home and away

Rodez at home6 matches: 2W 1D 3L, goals 9–11
Montpellier away6 matches: 4W 1D 1L, goals 10–4

Rodez vs Montpellier: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Rodez: 11th, 13 points from 11 matches (4W 1D 6L). Montpellier: 2nd, 24 points (7W 3D 1L).

What to expect

We make Montpellier the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.1%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.57), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
  2. Not available: Rodez 0, Montpellier 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 62%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Rodez: no absences. Not available for Montpellier: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.1%

Rodez vs Montpellier: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Rodez vs Montpellier?

On the result, our pick is Draw or Montpellier (X2) (1.38); on goals, Both teams to score (1.57). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Montpellier (X2).

Who will win Rodez vs Montpellier?

As we see it: Rodez to win 30%, the draw 26%, Montpellier to win 44%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

19 October 2026, 19:45, at Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez. Referee: Geoffrey Kubler.

Who will be missing?

Rodez: no absences. Montpellier: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.65), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.42).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.57).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.1%), 1–2 (9.1%), 0–1 (8.2%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Reims vs Sochaux 2 NovRED Star FC 93 vs Nancy 2 NovMontpellier vs Metz 6 NovDijon vs RED Star FC 93 6 NovClermont Foot vs Rodez 6 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.