Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Modena entertain Mantova on 31 October 2026 · 14:00 at Alberto Braglia (Modena), with Francesco Fourneau the man in the middle. Modena (52%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Modena vs Mantova: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.84 | 3.80 | 4.71 |
| Market average | 1.79 | 3.60 | 4.18 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.32 | 3.64 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.19 | 78.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.67 | 56.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.21 | 2.16 | 43.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.78 | 2.63 | 35.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.61 | 57.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.20 | 42.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 07:09. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Modena 1–1 Mantova, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Modena 2nd (20 points), Mantova 4th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Modena 6W 1D 2L (17:9), Mantova 5W 2D 2L (14:10).
- H2H: 9 matches: Modena 4W 4D 1L, goals 12–6.
- Absences: Modena 0, Mantova 0.
Who will win Modena vs Mantova?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Modena vs Mantova: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Modena vs Mantova: injuries, suspensions, absences
Modena
- No reported absences
Mantova
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Modena vs Mantova: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 | Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Modena
Home and away
Modena vs Mantova: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Modena: 2nd, 20 points from 10 matches (6W 2D 2L). Mantova: 4th, 18 points (5W 3D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Modena 1.9 scored and 1.0 conceded, Mantova 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Modena: 6W 1D 2L, goals 17–9; Mantova: 5W 2D 2L, goals 14–10.
- Head to head. Head to head over 9 meetings: Modena 4 wins, Mantova 1 win, plus 4 draws; goals 12–6.
What to expect
We make Modena the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.8%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 56%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 9; Modena 4 wins, 4 draws, Mantova 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.0 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Modena 17–9, Mantova 14–10.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Not available: Modena 0, Mantova 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 58%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Modena: no absences. Not available for Mantova: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Modena vs Mantova: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
ModenaDWWLWMantovaDLWLWModena vs Mantova: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Modena vs Mantova: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Modena vs Mantova?
On the result, our pick is Modena to win (1.84); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for Modena or draw (1X).
Who will win Modena vs Mantova?
As we see it: Modena to win 52%, the draw 26%, Mantova to win 22%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 14:00, at Alberto Braglia, Modena. Referee: Francesco Fourneau.
Who will be missing?
Modena: no absences. Mantova: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 56% chance (odds 1.72), against 44% for under 2.5 (odds 2.21).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.67).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.8%), 2–1 (9.8%), 1–0 (9.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.