Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Malmö FF v Hammarby FF takes place on 1 November 2026 · 13:00 at Eleda Stadion (Malmö); Mohammed Al-Hakim will referee. We back Hammarby FF (59%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 5.16 | 4.60 | 1.64 |
| Market average | 4.80 | 4.29 | 1.58 |
| Lowest odds | 4.21 | 3.86 | 1.53 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.10 | 84.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.39 | 66.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.78 | 33.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.09 | 2.03 | 46.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.50 | 36.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 12:06. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Malmö FF 1–2 Hammarby FF, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Malmö FF 7th (40 points), Hammarby FF 1st (55 points).
- Form in the competition: Malmö FF 12W 4D 10L (41:34), Hammarby FF 16W 4D 6L (54:21).
- H2H: 22 matches: Malmö FF 10W 6D 6L, goals 41–30.
- Absences: Malmö FF 8, Hammarby FF 3.
Who will win Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: injuries, suspensions, absences
Malmö FF
- I. Assibunot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Busuladzicinjury · will miss the match
- A. Hoognot in the squad · will miss the match
- P. Janssonknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Johnnot in the squad · will miss the match
- W. Kamanzimuscle injury · will miss the match
- T. Lundberghabsence · will miss the match
- O. Sjostrandknee injury · will miss the match
Hammarby FF
- A. Boudrinot in the squad · will miss the match
- I. Fofanared card · will miss the match
- B. Hedlofhip injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 2 |  Sirius | 26 | 17-4-5 | 56:34 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 26 | 10-8-8 | 42:45 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 26 | 9-7-10 | 32:26 | 34 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 26 | 6-8-12 | 30:43 | 26 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 26 | 6-4-16 | 23:42 | 22 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 26 | 4-5-17 | 18:49 | 17 |
Recent matches
Malmö FF
Home and away
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Malmö FF: 7th, 40 points from 27 matches (12W 4D 11L). Hammarby FF: 1st, 55 points (17W 4D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Malmö FF 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded, Hammarby FF 2.1 scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Malmö FF: 12W 4D 10L, goals 41–34; Hammarby FF: 16W 4D 6L, goals 54–21.
- Head to head. Head to head over 22 meetings: Malmö FF 10 wins, Hammarby FF 6 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 41–30.
What to expect
We make Hammarby FF the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (9.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 63% and over 2.5 goals is 67%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 22; Malmö FF 10 wins, 6 draws, Hammarby FF 6 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.2 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Malmö FF 41–34, Hammarby FF 54–21.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 67%.
- Not available: Malmö FF 8, Hammarby FF 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 63%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Malmö FF: I. Assibu, K. Busuladzic, A. Hoog, P. Jansson, N. John, W. Kamanzi, T. Lundbergh, O. Sjostrand. Not available for Hammarby FF: A. Boudri, I. Fofana, B. Hedlof. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Malmö FFLWDLWHammarby FFWWWWLMalmö FF vs Hammarby FF: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF?
On the result, our pick is Hammarby FF to win (1.64); on goals, Both teams to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Hammarby FF (X2).
Who will win Malmö FF vs Hammarby FF?
As we see it: Malmö FF to win 19%, the draw 22%, Hammarby FF to win 59%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
1 November 2026, 13:00, at Eleda Stadion, Malmö. Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim.
Who will be missing?
Malmö FF: I. Assibu, K. Busuladzic, A. Hoog, P. Jansson, N. John, W. Kamanzi, T. Lundbergh, O. Sjostrand. Hammarby FF: A. Boudri, I. Fofana, B. Hedlof. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 67% chance (odds 1.44), against 33% for under 2.5 (odds 2.88).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–2 (9.6%), 1–1 (8.7%), 0–2 (7.7%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.