Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Mjällby AIF v Hammarby FF takes place on 25 October 2026 · 15:30 at Strandvallen (Hällevik); Victor Wolf will referee. We back Hammarby FF (66%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 6.99 | 4.83 | 1.45 |
| Market average | 6.58 | 4.64 | 1.42 |
| Lowest odds | 6.45 | 4.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.58 | 1.53 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.37 | 39.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.36 | 39.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.04 | 45.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 12:03. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Mjällby AIF 0–2 Hammarby FF, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Mjällby AIF 12th (26 points), Hammarby FF 1st (55 points).
- Form in the competition: Mjällby AIF 5W 8D 11L (28:40), Hammarby FF 14W 4D 6L (50:21).
- H2H: 17 matches: Mjällby AIF 7W 2D 8L, goals 18–27.
- Absences: Mjällby AIF 4, Hammarby FF 1.
Who will win Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: injuries, suspensions, absences
Mjällby AIF
- V. Dalsgaardinjury · will miss the match
- M. Isakssonnot in the squad · will miss the match
- T. Stavitskiback injury · will miss the match
- L. Tidstrandabsence · will miss the match
Hammarby FF
- B. Hedlofhip injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 2 |  Sirius | 26 | 17-4-5 | 56:34 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 26 | 10-8-8 | 42:45 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 26 | 9-7-10 | 32:26 | 34 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 | Mjällby AIF | 26 | 6-8-12 | 30:43 | 26 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 26 | 6-4-16 | 23:42 | 22 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 26 | 4-5-17 | 18:49 | 17 |
Recent matches
Mjällby AIF
Home and away
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Mjällby AIF: 12th, 26 points from 26 matches (6W 8D 12L). Hammarby FF: 1st, 55 points (17W 4D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Mjällby AIF 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded, Hammarby FF 2.1 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Mjällby AIF: 5W 8D 11L, goals 28–40; Hammarby FF: 14W 4D 6L, goals 50–21.
- Head to head. Head to head over 17 meetings: Mjällby AIF 7 wins, Hammarby FF 8 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 18–27.
What to expect
We make Hammarby FF the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–2 (10.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.58), with a probability of 61% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 61%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 17; Mjällby AIF 7 wins, 2 draws, Hammarby FF 8 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Mjällby AIF 28–40, Hammarby FF 50–21.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Not available: Mjällby AIF 4, Hammarby FF 1.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Mjällby AIF: V. Dalsgaard, M. Isaksson, T. Stavitski, L. Tidstrand. Not available for Hammarby FF: B. Hedlof. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Mjällby AIFWLLDLHammarby FFWWWWLMjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: head to head
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Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF?
On the result, our pick is Hammarby FF to win (1.45); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.58). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Hammarby FF (X2).
Who will win Mjällby AIF vs Hammarby FF?
As we see it: Mjällby AIF to win 14%, the draw 20%, Hammarby FF to win 66%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 15:30, at Strandvallen, Hällevik. Referee: Victor Wolf.
Who will be missing?
Mjällby AIF: V. Dalsgaard, M. Isaksson, T. Stavitski, L. Tidstrand. Hammarby FF: B. Hedlof. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 61% chance (odds 1.58), against 39% for under 2.5 (odds 2.45).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.75).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–2 (10.4%), 1–2 (9.9%), 0–1 (9.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.