Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Hammarby FF entertain Sirius on 29 October 2026 · 17:30 at 3Arena (Stockholm), with Glenn Nyberg the man in the middle. Hammarby FF (65%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.47 | 5.01 | 6.49 |
| Market average | 1.43 | 4.65 | 6.12 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.39 | 5.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.51 | 61.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.54 | 2.42 | 38.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.27 | 41.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.64 | 56.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.13 | 43.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 29/10/26, 16:01. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Hammarby FF 2–1 Sirius, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Hammarby FF 1st (55 points), Sirius 2nd (55 points).
- Form in the competition: Hammarby FF 15W 4D 6L (52:21), Sirius 17W 4D 4L (56:32).
- H2H: 26 matches: Hammarby FF 16W 7D 3L, goals 53–28.
- Absences: Hammarby FF 1, Sirius 1.
Who will win Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: injuries, suspensions, absences
Hammarby FF
- B. Hedlofhip injury · will miss the match
Sirius
- O. Liimattainjury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 2 | Sirius | 26 | 17-4-5 | 56:34 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 26 | 10-8-8 | 42:45 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 26 | 9-7-10 | 32:26 | 34 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 26 | 6-8-12 | 30:43 | 26 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 26 | 6-4-16 | 23:42 | 22 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 26 | 4-5-17 | 18:49 | 17 |
Recent matches
Hammarby FF
Home and away
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Hammarby FF: 1st, 55 points from 27 matches (17W 4D 6L). Sirius: 2nd, 55 points (17W 4D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Hammarby FF 2.1 scored and 0.8 conceded, Sirius 2.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Hammarby FF: 15W 4D 6L, goals 52–21; Sirius: 17W 4D 4L, goals 56–32.
- Head to head. Head to head over 26 meetings: Hammarby FF 16 wins, Sirius 3 wins, plus 7 draws; goals 53–28.
What to expect
We make Hammarby FF the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.53), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 62%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 26; Hammarby FF 16 wins, 7 draws, Sirius 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.1 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Hammarby FF 52–21, Sirius 56–32.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Not available: Hammarby FF 1, Sirius 1.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Hammarby FF: B. Hedlof. Not available for Sirius: O. Liimatta. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Hammarby FFWWWWLSiriusLLDWWHammarby FF vs Sirius: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Hammarby FF vs Sirius: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
On the result, our pick is Hammarby FF to win (1.47); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.53). Prefer less risk? Go for Hammarby FF or draw (1X).
Who will win Hammarby FF vs Sirius?
As we see it: Hammarby FF to win 65%, the draw 20%, Sirius to win 15%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
29 October 2026, 17:30, at 3Arena, Stockholm. Referee: Glenn Nyberg.
Who will be missing?
Hammarby FF: B. Hedlof. Sirius: O. Liimatta. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 62% chance (odds 1.53), against 38% for under 2.5 (odds 2.54).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.67).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.9%), 2–0 (9.9%), 1–1 (9.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.