Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
IF Elfsborg entertain Malmö FF on 23 October 2026 · 18:00 at Borås Arena (Boras), with Granit Maqedonci, Sweden the man in the middle. IF Elfsborg (46%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
IF Elfsborg vs Malmö FF: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.07 | 3.90 | 3.40 |
| Market average | 2.01 | 3.69 | 3.32 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.28 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.19 | 78.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.71 | 1.66 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.15 | 43.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.79 | 2.63 | 35.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.57 | 58.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.25 | 41.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 23/10/26, 16:04. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: IF Elfsborg 1–1 Malmö FF, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: IF Elfsborg 5th (46 points), Malmö FF 7th (40 points).
- Form in the competition: IF Elfsborg 11W 8D 5L (37:24), Malmö FF 11W 3D 10L (38:34).
- H2H: 24 matches: IF Elfsborg 5W 4D 15L, goals 22–40.
- Absences: IF Elfsborg 3, Malmö FF 7.
Who will win IF Elfsborg vs Malmö FF?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
IF Elfsborg vs Malmö FF: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
IF Elfsborg vs Malmö FF: injuries, suspensions, absences
IF Elfsborg
- V. Elfstromnot in the squad · will miss the match
- L. Haggnot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Rohdenmuscle injury · will miss the match
Malmö FF
- I. Assibunot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Busuladzicinjury · will miss the match
- P. Janssonknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Johnnot in the squad · will miss the match
- W. Kamanzimuscle injury · will miss the match
- Y. Karabelyovnot in the squad · will miss the match
- O. Sjostrandknee injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
IF Elfsborg vs Malmö FF: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 2 |  Sirius | 26 | 17-4-5 | 56:34 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 | IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 26 | 10-8-8 | 42:45 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 26 | 9-7-10 | 32:26 | 34 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 26 | 6-8-12 | 30:43 | 26 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 26 | 6-4-16 | 23:42 | 22 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 26 | 4-5-17 | 18:49 | 17 |
Recent matches
IF Elfsborg
Home and away
IF Elfsborg vs Malmö FF: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. IF Elfsborg: 5th, 46 points from 27 matches (12W 10D 5L). Malmö FF: 7th, 40 points (12W 4D 11L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: IF Elfsborg 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded, Malmö FF 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. IF Elfsborg: 11W 8D 5L, goals 37–24; Malmö FF: 11W 3D 10L, goals 38–34.
- Head to head. Head to head over 24 meetings: IF Elfsborg 5 wins, Malmö FF 15 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 22–40.
What to expect
We make IF Elfsborg the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.3%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 56%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 24; IF Elfsborg 5 wins, 4 draws, Malmö FF 15 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: IF Elfsborg 37–24, Malmö FF 38–34.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Not available: IF Elfsborg 3, Malmö FF 7.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for IF Elfsborg: V. Elfstrom, L. Hagg, M. Rohden. Not available for Malmö FF: I. Assibu, K. Busuladzic, P. Jansson, N. John, W. Kamanzi, Y. Karabelyov, O. Sjostrand. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
IF Elfsborg vs Malmö FF: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
IF ElfsborgWDDDWMalmö FFLWDLWIF Elfsborg vs Malmö FF: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
IF Elfsborg vs Malmö FF: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for IF Elfsborg vs Malmö FF?
On the result, our pick is IF Elfsborg to win (2.07); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.45). Prefer less risk? Go for IF Elfsborg or draw (1X).
Who will win IF Elfsborg vs Malmö FF?
As we see it: IF Elfsborg to win 46%, the draw 25%, Malmö FF to win 28%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
23 October 2026, 18:00, at Borås Arena, Boras. Referee: Granit Maqedonci, Sweden.
Who will be missing?
IF Elfsborg: V. Elfstrom, L. Hagg, M. Rohden. Malmö FF: I. Assibu, K. Busuladzic, P. Jansson, N. John, W. Kamanzi, Y. Karabelyov, O. Sjostrand. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 56% chance (odds 1.71), against 44% for under 2.5 (odds 2.20).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.3%), 2–1 (9.4%), 1–0 (9.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.