Kilmarnock entertain Aberdeen on 21 November 2026 · 15:00 at Rugby Park (Kilmarnock). We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.20 | 3.75 | 2.12 |
| Market average | 3.13 | 3.66 | 2.09 |
| Lowest odds | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 78.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.61 | 58.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.30 | 41.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.45 | 38.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.53 | 60.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.36 | 39.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:35. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Kilmarnock 1–1 Aberdeen, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Kilmarnock 11th (9 points), Aberdeen 10th (11 points).
- H2H: 55 matches: Kilmarnock 11W 11D 33L, goals 47–85.
- Absences: Kilmarnock 0, Aberdeen 0.
Who will win Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: injuries, suspensions, absences
Kilmarnock
- No reported absences
Aberdeen
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 | |
| 4 | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 | |
| 6 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 | |
| 7 | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 | |
| 8 | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 | |
| 9 | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 | |
| 11 | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 | |
| 12 | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Kilmarnock
Home and away
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Kilmarnock: 11th, 9 points from 12 matches (2W 3D 7L). Aberdeen: 10th, 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 55 meetings: Kilmarnock 11 wins, Aberdeen 33 wins, plus 11 draws; goals 47–85.
What to expect
We make Aberdeen the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 61% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 55; Kilmarnock 11 wins, 11 draws, Aberdeen 33 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.4 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Not available: Kilmarnock 0, Aberdeen 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 61%, odds up to 1.55). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Kilmarnock: no absences. Not available for Aberdeen: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: head to head
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Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
On the result, our pick is Draw or Aberdeen (X2) (1.38); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.55). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Aberdeen (X2).
Who will win Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
As we see it: Kilmarnock to win 30%, the draw 25%, Aberdeen to win 45%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
21 November 2026, 15:00, at Rugby Park, Kilmarnock.
Who will be missing?
Kilmarnock: no absences. Aberdeen: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.62), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 61% (odds 1.55).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.9%), 1–2 (9.2%), 0–1 (8.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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