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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 14 · 21 November 2026 · 15:00

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen tip, odds and prediction, 21 November 2026, Scottish Premiership

VS
1Kilmarnock3.20
XDraw3.75
2Aberdeen2.12

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 03:35

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Kilmarnock entertain Aberdeen on 21 November 2026 · 15:00 at Rugby Park (Kilmarnock). We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Aberdeen (X2)
1.38
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.55
70%chance of the result
62%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.203.752.12
Market average3.133.662.09
Lowest odds3.103.502.05
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.211.1878.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.621.6158.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.352.3041.1%
Over 3.5 goals2.552.4538.0%
BTTS – yes1.551.5360.8%
BTTS – no2.402.3639.2%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:35. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.2%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Kilmarnock 1–1 Aberdeen, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Kilmarnock 11th (9 points), Aberdeen 10th (11 points).
  • H2H: 55 matches: Kilmarnock 11W 11D 33L, goals 47–85.
  • Absences: Kilmarnock 0, Aberdeen 0.

Who will win Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?

Kilmarnock30%
Draw25%
Aberdeen45%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals78.9% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.21
Likely
Draw or Aberdeen (X2)70.2% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.38
Likely
Under 3.5 goals62.0% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.55
Likely
Both teams score: yes60.8% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.55
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.9% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.62
Possible
Aberdeen to win44.7% · fair odds 2.24 · best 2.12
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals41.1% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.35
Outsider
Both teams score: no39.2% · fair odds 2.55 · best 2.40
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.0% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.55
Outsider
Kilmarnock to win29.8% · fair odds 3.36 · best 3.20
Outsider
Draw25.5% · fair odds 3.92 · best 3.75
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.9%
1 : 29.2%
0 : 18.1%
2 : 17.3%
0 : 26.8%
1 : 06.4%

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: injuries, suspensions, absences

Kilmarnock

  • No reported absences

Aberdeen

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Celtic129-1-227:1028
2Rangers117-3-119:924
3Heart Of Midlothian116-2-324:1720
4Falkirk125-3-415:1218
5Dundee115-2-417:1317
6Dundee Utd114-4-316:1616
7ST Johnstone123-5-415:1914
8ST Mirren124-2-612:2014
9Motherwell123-3-614:2012
10Aberdeen113-2-612:1411
11Kilmarnock122-3-713:289
12Hibernian112-2-711:178

Recent matches

Kilmarnock

31 OctDKilmarnock 2–2 ST Johnstone
28 OctLDundee 3–1 Kilmarnock
24 OctLFalkirk 3–0 Kilmarnock
17 OctWKilmarnock 3–2 Motherwell
10 OctLRangers 3–1 Kilmarnock

Aberdeen

28 OctLAberdeen 0–1 Falkirk
24 OctLDundee Utd 3–2 Aberdeen
17 OctWAberdeen 3–1 ST Mirren
11 OctLAberdeen 0–1 ST Johnstone
19 SeptDHibernian 1–1 Aberdeen

Home and away

Kilmarnock at home6 matches: 1W 2D 3L, goals 7–15
Aberdeen away5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 7–9

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Kilmarnock: 11th, 9 points from 12 matches (2W 3D 7L). Aberdeen: 10th, 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 55 meetings: Kilmarnock 11 wins, Aberdeen 33 wins, plus 11 draws; goals 47–85.

What to expect

We make Aberdeen the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.9%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 61% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 55; Kilmarnock 11 wins, 11 draws, Aberdeen 33 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.4 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
  4. Not available: Kilmarnock 0, Aberdeen 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 61%, odds up to 1.55). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Kilmarnock: no absences. Not available for Aberdeen: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: head to head

All matches
11Kilmarnock
11Draws
33Aberdeen
12/9/26 · Kilmarnock 1–1 Aberdeen
5/9/26 · Aberdeen 0–0 Kilmarnock
25/4/26 · Aberdeen 1–0 Kilmarnock
31/1/26 · Kilmarnock 3–0 Aberdeen
14/12/25 · Aberdeen 2–1 Kilmarnock
29/10/25 · Kilmarnock 0–1 Aberdeen

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.2%

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?

On the result, our pick is Draw or Aberdeen (X2) (1.38); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.55). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Aberdeen (X2).

Who will win Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?

As we see it: Kilmarnock to win 30%, the draw 25%, Aberdeen to win 45%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

21 November 2026, 15:00, at Rugby Park, Kilmarnock.

Who will be missing?

Kilmarnock: no absences. Aberdeen: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.62), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.35).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 61% (odds 1.55).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.9%), 1–2 (9.2%), 0–1 (8.1%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

ST Johnstone vs Dundee 7 NovDundee Utd vs Motherwell 7 NovAberdeen vs Hibernian 7 NovST Mirren vs Rangers 7 NovHeart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.