Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Aberdeen and Falkirk meet on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Pittodrie Stadium (Aberdeen). Aberdeen (48%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Aberdeen vs Falkirk: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.01 | 3.56 | 3.90 |
| Market average | 1.97 | 3.47 | 3.79 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.68 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 75.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.87 | 50.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.94 | 49.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.10 | 30.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.69 | 54.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.04 | 45.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Aberdeen 1–1 Falkirk, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Aberdeen 10th (11 points), Falkirk 4th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Aberdeen 3W 2D 5L (12:13), Falkirk 3W 3D 4L (12:12).
- H2H: 4 matches: Aberdeen 0W 1D 3L, goals 1–4.
- Absences: Aberdeen 0, Falkirk 0.
Who will win Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Aberdeen vs Falkirk: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Aberdeen vs Falkirk: injuries, suspensions, absences
Aberdeen
- No reported absences
Falkirk
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Aberdeen vs Falkirk: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Aberdeen
Home and away
Aberdeen vs Falkirk: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Aberdeen: 10th, 11 points from 11 matches (3W 2D 6L). Falkirk: 4th, 18 points (5W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Aberdeen 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded, Falkirk 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Aberdeen: 3W 2D 5L, goals 12–13; Falkirk: 3W 3D 4L, goals 12–12.
- Head to head. Head to head over 4 meetings: Aberdeen 0 wins, Falkirk 3 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 1–4.
What to expect
We make Aberdeen the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.8%). We see a fairly level contest.
The two signals clash: on table position the Falkirk look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.70), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 51%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 4; Aberdeen 0 wins, 1 draw, Falkirk 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 1.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Aberdeen 12–13, Falkirk 12–12.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 51%.
- Not available: Aberdeen 0, Falkirk 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 55%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Aberdeen: no absences. Not available for Falkirk: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Aberdeen vs Falkirk: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
AberdeenLLWLDFalkirkWWWWLAberdeen vs Falkirk: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Aberdeen vs Falkirk: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
On the result, our pick is Aberdeen to win (2.01); on goals, Both teams to score (1.70). Prefer less risk? Go for Aberdeen or draw (1X).
Who will win Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
As we see it: Aberdeen to win 48%, the draw 27%, Falkirk to win 25%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
28 October 2026, 19:45, at Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen.
Who will be missing?
Aberdeen: no absences. Falkirk: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 51% chance (odds 1.91), against 49% for under 2.5 (odds 2.01).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.70).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.8%), 1–0 (10.8%), 2–1 (9.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.