Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Falkirk entertain Kilmarnock on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Falkirk Stadium (Falkirk), with D. Robertson the man in the middle. Falkirk (51%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.91 | 3.90 | 4.02 |
| Market average | 1.86 | 3.81 | 3.83 |
| Lowest odds | 1.79 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 79.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.64 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.23 | 42.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.68 | 2.58 | 36.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.57 | 59.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.26 | 41.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 13:35. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Falkirk 1–1 Kilmarnock, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Falkirk 4th (18 points), Kilmarnock 11th (9 points).
- H2H: 7 matches: Falkirk 5W 0D 2L, goals 17–9.
- Absences: Falkirk 0, Kilmarnock 0.
Who will win Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: injuries, suspensions, absences
Falkirk
- No reported absences
Kilmarnock
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 | |
| 4 | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 | |
| 6 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 | |
| 7 | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 | |
| 8 | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 | |
| 9 | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 | |
| 11 | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 | |
| 12 | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Falkirk
Home and away
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Falkirk: 4th, 18 points from 12 matches (5W 3D 4L). Kilmarnock: 11th, 9 points (2W 3D 7L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 7 meetings: Falkirk 5 wins, Kilmarnock 2 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 17–9.
What to expect
We make Falkirk the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.8%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 7; Falkirk 5 wins, 0 draws, Kilmarnock 2 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.7 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Not available: Falkirk 0, Kilmarnock 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Falkirk: no absences. Not available for Kilmarnock: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: head to head
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Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
On the result, our pick is Falkirk to win (1.91); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.53). Prefer less risk? Go for Falkirk or draw (1X).
Who will win Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
As we see it: Falkirk to win 51%, the draw 25%, Kilmarnock to win 25%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 15:00, at Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk. Referee: D. Robertson.
Who will be missing?
Falkirk: no absences. Kilmarnock: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.68), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.8%), 2–1 (9.7%), 1–0 (9.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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