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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 10 · 24 October 2026 · 15:00

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock tip, odds and prediction, 24 October 2026, Scottish Premiership

WWWWL
3–0
1Falkirk1.91
XDraw3.90
2Kilmarnock4.02

Top odds available · Updated 24/10/26, 13:35

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Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Falkirk entertain Kilmarnock on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Falkirk Stadium (Falkirk), with D. Robertson the man in the middle. Falkirk (51%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: tip and prediction
Result
Falkirk to win
1.91
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.53
Combo
Falkirk & over 2.5 goals
2.91
34% · fair combo odds
51%chance of the result
64%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Falkirk or draw (1X) – probability 75%, odds up to 1.28.

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Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.913.904.02
Market average1.863.813.83
Lowest odds1.793.503.60
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.211.1879.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.681.6457.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.302.2342.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.682.5836.3%
BTTS – yes1.621.5759.0%
BTTS – no2.302.2641.0%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 13:35. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.3%.

All bookmakers →

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Falkirk 1–1 Kilmarnock, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Falkirk 4th (18 points), Kilmarnock 11th (9 points).
  • H2H: 7 matches: Falkirk 5W 0D 2L, goals 17–9.
  • Absences: Falkirk 0, Kilmarnock 0.

Who will win Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?

Falkirk51%
Draw25%
Kilmarnock25%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals79.1% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.21
Likely
Falkirk or draw (1X)75.4% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.28
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.7% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.53
Likely
Both teams score: yes59.0% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals57.6% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.68
Possible
Falkirk to win50.7% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.91
Possible
Under 2.5 goals42.4% · fair odds 2.36 · best 2.30
Outsider
Both teams score: no41.0% · fair odds 2.44 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals36.3% · fair odds 2.76 · best 2.68
Outsider
Draw24.7% · fair odds 4.05 · best 3.90
Outsider
Kilmarnock to win24.6% · fair odds 4.06 · best 4.02
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.71 · Under 2.04
probability of over 54.5%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.59 · Under 2.28
probability of over 59.0%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.8%
2 : 19.7%
1 : 09.0%
2 : 08.1%
1 : 26.5%
0 : 16.0%

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: injuries, suspensions, absences

Falkirk

  • No reported absences

Kilmarnock

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Celtic129-1-227:1028
2Rangers117-3-119:924
3Heart Of Midlothian116-2-324:1720
4Falkirk125-3-415:1218
5Dundee115-2-417:1317
6Dundee Utd114-4-316:1616
7ST Johnstone123-5-415:1914
8ST Mirren124-2-612:2014
9Motherwell123-3-614:2012
10Aberdeen113-2-612:1411
11Kilmarnock122-3-713:289
12Hibernian112-2-711:178

Recent matches

Falkirk

1 NovWFalkirk 2–0 Celtic
28 OctWAberdeen 0–1 Falkirk
24 OctWFalkirk 3–0 Kilmarnock
17 OctWHibernian 1–2 Falkirk
10 OctLFalkirk 1–2 Dundee

Kilmarnock

31 OctDKilmarnock 2–2 ST Johnstone
28 OctLDundee 3–1 Kilmarnock
24 OctLFalkirk 3–0 Kilmarnock
17 OctWKilmarnock 3–2 Motherwell
10 OctLRangers 3–1 Kilmarnock

Home and away

Falkirk at home6 matches: 3W 0D 3L, goals 9–7
Kilmarnock away6 matches: 1W 1D 4L, goals 6–13

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Falkirk: 4th, 18 points from 12 matches (5W 3D 4L). Kilmarnock: 11th, 9 points (2W 3D 7L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 7 meetings: Falkirk 5 wins, Kilmarnock 2 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 17–9.

What to expect

We make Falkirk the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.8%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 7; Falkirk 5 wins, 0 draws, Kilmarnock 2 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.7 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
  4. Not available: Falkirk 0, Kilmarnock 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Falkirk: no absences. Not available for Kilmarnock: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: head to head

All matches
5Falkirk
0Draws
2Kilmarnock
24/10/26 · Falkirk 3–0 Kilmarnock
28/2/26 · Falkirk 5–1 Kilmarnock
20/12/25 · Kilmarnock 0–1 Falkirk
1/11/25 · Falkirk 3–1 Kilmarnock
24/6/22 · Falkirk 1–4 Kilmarnock
4/9/21 · Kilmarnock 3–1 Falkirk

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.3%

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?

On the result, our pick is Falkirk to win (1.91); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.53). Prefer less risk? Go for Falkirk or draw (1X).

Who will win Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?

As we see it: Falkirk to win 51%, the draw 25%, Kilmarnock to win 25%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

24 October 2026, 15:00, at Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk. Referee: D. Robertson.

Who will be missing?

Falkirk: no absences. Kilmarnock: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.68), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.30).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.62).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.8%), 2–1 (9.7%), 1–0 (9.0%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

ST Johnstone vs Dundee 7 NovDundee Utd vs Motherwell 7 NovAberdeen vs Hibernian 7 NovST Mirren vs Rangers 7 NovHeart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.