Bet with Mino Casino →Our tip for Israel vs Austria (UEFA Nations League, 17 November 2026, 19:45): Israel +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.57. Second tip: Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.57. The bookmakers' odds give Israel 19%, the draw 22% and Austria 59%. The most likely score is 1–2.
Wins: Israel win, a draw, Israel lose by 1. Loses: Israel lose by 2 or more.
Israel vs Austria prediction and betting preview
Can Israel keep Austria from pulling clear, or does Austria's quality in this group come through again? The table, the recent results and the prices all lean towards the visitors, but the goals question is less settled than the winner question, and that is where we see the value on this UEFA Nations League Matchweek 6 fixture, kick-off 17 November 2026 at 19:45.
Main facts
- Likely result: Israel 1–2 Austria, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Israel 4th (2 points), Austria 1st (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Israel 0W 2D 2L (2:7), Austria 2W 2D 0L (9:5).
- H2H: 5 matches: Israel 2W 0D 3L, goals 13–14.
- Absences: Israel 0, Austria 0.
Austria top the group, Israel sit fourth
In this competition only, Austria lead the table on 8 points from 4 matches, with 2 wins, 2 draws and no defeats, and a goal record of 9:5. Israel are fourth on 2 points from the same number of games, with no wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, and they have scored only 2 goals while conceding 7.
The home record is where Israel look weakest. In this competition they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat at home, with goals 0:3. Austria, playing away, have 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats, with goals 3:3. Austria have not lost on the road here, but they have not won there either, so the visitors' away form is solid rather than spectacular.
Standings and form
League B – Group C
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Austria | 4 | 2-2-0 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 2 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1-2-1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 3 |  Republic of Ireland | 4 | 1-2-1 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 4 |  Israel | 4 | 0-2-2 | 2:7 | 2 |
Recent matches
Israel
Home and away
Recent results across all competitions
These are the last four matches of each side in all competitions, and they show the same picture. Israel have taken 0 wins from their last 4 and conceded at least twice in two of them, including a 3-1 defeat to Austria on 24/9/26. Austria took 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 4, and the most recent one was a 1-1 draw at Kosovo on 4/10/26.
Israel's last four bring 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, goals 2:7. Austria's bring 2 wins, 2 draws and no defeats, goals 9:5. Those are the numbers that make us trust Austria more, though a draw in Austria's run is a reminder that they do not win every week.
Who will win Israel vs Austria?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
The meetings favour the visitors
Austria have the better of the head-to-head record. In the last five meetings Austria won 3 and Israel won 2, with no draws, and the total goals were 13 for Israel and 14 for Austria. Austria's 3-1 win on 24/9/26 was the most recent of those meetings.
No absences reported for either side
Neither side has any reported absence, so we have no team news to trim the price. Both squads should be picked close to full strength, and that keeps the comparison on form and results rather than on who is missing.
Israel vs Austria: injuries, suspensions, absences
Israel
- No reported absences
Austria
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
IsraelDDLLAustriaDDWWWhat the market expects from this match
The bookmakers' odds give Austria a 56% chance to win, with best odds of 1.65. Israel are at 22% with best odds of 4.26, and a draw at 22% with best odds of 4.11. The bookmaker margin on the match result is 8.4%, so the prices are not generous, but the gap between Austria and the other two outcomes is wide.
The expected goals are Israel 1 and Austria 2, which gives about 3 goals in total. The most likely exact scores are 1-1 at 10.4%, 1-2 at 9.9% and 0-1 at 9.5%. Those are the bookmakers' expectations and not a forecast of ours, but they are useful as a guide to where the money sits.
Israel vs Austria: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.65 |
| Market average | 4.88 | 4.22 | 1.58 |
| Lowest odds | 4.26 | 4.11 | 1.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.54 | 59.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.30 | 40.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.56 | 2.56 | 35.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.62 | 57.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.18 | 42.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 13/11/26, 08:07. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.2%.
Israel vs Austria: last matches of both teams
Israel
Austria
Our tip: Austria to win at 1.65
Austria to win at odds 1.65, with a chance of 56%, is our main tip. We like it because Austria have the better table position, the better form and the better head-to-head record, and the price still reflects a side that wins more often than it loses. The argument is simple, and the price is short enough that we are not chasing a long shot.
- Austria have won 2 of their last 4 matches in all competitions, and they have lost none of them.
- Israel have won none of their last 4 matches in all competitions.
- Austria are first in this competition with 8 points, while Israel are fourth with 2.
- Austria have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, against 2 for Israel.
The tip wins if the score is 1-2, 0-1, 0-2 or 1-3. It loses on 1-1 and 2-1.
Head to head
All matchesOur other tip: Over 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals at 1.57 is our second tip, with a market chance of 58%. We think the goals question is more open than the result question, and the figures from the last four matches support that view. Israel have had more than 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4 matches, and Austria in 3 of their last 4.
The expected total of about 3 goals also sits right on the line, and the market gives over 2.5 a 58% chance at the best odds of 1.57. The tip wins on 1-2, 1-3 and 2-1, and it loses on 1-1, 0-1 and 0-2.
Israel vs Austria: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Score prediction
No other bets from us this time
We have no further bet to recommend on this match. The bookmakers also price over 3.5 goals at 2.56 (36%), under 2.5 at 2.19 (42%), under 3.5 at 1.42 (64%), both teams to score yes at 1.59 (57%) and no at 2.15 (43%). We are not backing any of them, and we would rather keep the stake on the two tips above.
Where we land on this one
We expect Austria to come out on top, and we would back them to win at 1.65 rather than take Israel's price at 4.26 on a home side that has not won in this competition. The goals side is the more interesting bet, because the recent games suggest the total can go past 2.5 even if Austria win comfortably. We would keep both stakes modest, since the margin on the result is 8.4%, and let the price do the work.
Match odds
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which bet do we recommend for Israel vs Austria?
Israel +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.57); Over 2.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Israel vs Austria?
As we see it: Israel to win 19%, the draw 22%, Austria to win 59%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
17 November 2026, 19:45, at to be confirmed.
Who will be missing?
Israel: no absences. Austria: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 60% chance (odds 1.57), against 40% for under 2.5 (odds 2.40).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.65).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–2 (9.9%), 1–1 (9.9%), 0–2 (9.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.