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Allsvenskan · Matchweek 24 · 18 October 2026 · 13:00

Sirius vs IF Elfsborg tip, odds and prediction, 18 October 2026, Allsvenskan

LLDWW
2–2
1Sirius2.21
XDraw3.59
2IF Elfsborg3.20

Top odds available · Updated 18/10/26, 08:05

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Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Sirius entertain IF Elfsborg on 18 October 2026 · 13:00 at Studenternas IP (Uppsala), with Adi Aganovic, Sweden the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Sirius or draw (1X)
1.36
Goals
Both teams to score
1.62
70%chance of the result
58%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.213.593.20
Market average2.153.463.12
Lowest odds2.123.303.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.231.2077.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.751.7154.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.122.0745.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.822.6934.4%
BTTS – yes1.621.5958.3%
BTTS – no2.252.2341.7%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 08:05. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.4%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Sirius 1–1 IF Elfsborg, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Sirius 2nd (55 points), IF Elfsborg 5th (46 points).
  • H2H: 21 matches: Sirius 9W 4D 8L, goals 41–36.
  • Absences: Sirius 0, IF Elfsborg 0.

Who will win Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?

Sirius43%
Draw27%
IF Elfsborg30%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals77.1% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.23
Likely
Sirius or draw (1X)70.2% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.36
Likely
Under 3.5 goals65.6% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.44
Likely
Both teams score: yes58.3% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.7% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.75
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.3% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.12
Outsider
Sirius to win43.2% · fair odds 2.31 · best 2.21
Outsider
Both teams score: no41.7% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.25
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.4% · fair odds 2.91 · best 2.82
Outsider
IF Elfsborg to win29.8% · fair odds 3.35 · best 3.20
Outsider
Draw26.9% · fair odds 3.71 · best 3.59
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.88 · Under 1.83
probability of over 49.3%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.8%
1 : 09.4%
2 : 19.1%
0 : 17.6%
1 : 27.4%
2 : 07.3%

Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: injuries, suspensions, absences

Sirius

  • No reported absences

IF Elfsborg

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Hammarby FF2717-4-656:2255
2Sirius2617-4-556:3455
3Djurgårdens IF2716-4-755:2552
4BK Häcken2713-10-448:3049
5IF Elfsborg2712-10-541:2746
6Västerås SK FK2713-5-940:3844
7Malmö FF2712-4-1142:3640
8AIK Stockholm2610-8-842:4538
9IFK Göteborg2710-8-936:4638
10Gais269-7-1032:2634
11IF Brommapojkarna279-7-1139:4434
12Mjällby AIF266-8-1230:4326
13Kalmar FF266-4-1623:4222
14Degerfors IF275-5-1722:4620
15Örgryte IS274-7-1633:6019
16Halmstad264-5-1718:4917

Recent matches

Sirius

29 OctLHammarby FF 2–0 Sirius
24 OctLSirius 1–2 AIK Stockholm
18 OctDSirius 2–2 IF Elfsborg
10 OctWGais 0–1 Sirius
19 SeptWÖrgryte IS 1–2 Sirius

IF Elfsborg

1 NovWIF Elfsborg 2–1 Örgryte IS
27 OctDAIK Stockholm 2–2 IF Elfsborg
23 OctDIF Elfsborg 0–0 Malmö FF
18 OctDSirius 2–2 IF Elfsborg
12 OctWIF Elfsborg 4–0 Halmstad

Home and away

Sirius at home13 matches: 7W 3D 3L, goals 28–19
IF Elfsborg away13 matches: 4W 6D 3L, goals 18–17

Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Sirius: 2nd, 55 points from 26 matches (17W 4D 5L). IF Elfsborg: 5th, 46 points (12W 10D 5L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 21 meetings: Sirius 9 wins, IF Elfsborg 8 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 41–36.

What to expect

We make Sirius the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.8%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.62), with a probability of 58% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 55%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 21; Sirius 9 wins, 4 draws, IF Elfsborg 8 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.7 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 55%.
  4. Not available: Sirius 0, IF Elfsborg 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 58%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Sirius: no absences. Not available for IF Elfsborg: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: head to head

All matches
9Sirius
4Draws
8IF Elfsborg
18/10/26 · Sirius 2–2 IF Elfsborg
19/7/26 · IF Elfsborg 1–3 Sirius
8/3/26 · IF Elfsborg 1–2 Sirius
26/10/25 · Sirius 4–0 IF Elfsborg
23/4/25 · IF Elfsborg 4–3 Sirius
6/10/24 · Sirius 4–1 IF Elfsborg

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.4%

Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?

On the result, our pick is Sirius or draw (1X) (1.36); on goals, Both teams to score (1.62). Prefer less risk? Go for Sirius or draw (1X).

Who will win Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?

As we see it: Sirius to win 43%, the draw 27%, IF Elfsborg to win 30%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

18 October 2026, 13:00, at Studenternas IP, Uppsala. Referee: Adi Aganovic, Sweden.

Who will be missing?

Sirius: no absences. IF Elfsborg: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 55% chance (odds 1.75), against 45% for under 2.5 (odds 2.12).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.62).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.8%), 1–0 (9.4%), 2–1 (9.1%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Gais vs AIK Stockholm 2 NovMjällby AIF vs Kalmar FF 2 NovSirius vs Halmstad 3 NovHammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg 6 NovÖrgryte IS vs Västerås SK FK 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.