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UEFA Champions League · league phase, matchday 4 · 4 November 2026 · 17:45

Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool tip, odds and prediction, 4 November 2026, UEFA Champions League

1Fenerbahçe5.50
XDraw4.72
2Liverpool1.61

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 12:30

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Fenerbahçe entertain Liverpool on 4 November 2026 · 17:45 at Chobani Stadium (Istanbul). Liverpool (61%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool: tip and prediction
Result
Liverpool to win
1.61
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.50
Combo
Liverpool & over 2.5 goals
2.27
44% · fair combo odds
61%chance of the result
64%goals tip: chance
1–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Liverpool (X2) – probability 82%, odds up to 1.18.

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Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available5.504.721.61
Market average5.344.541.56
Lowest odds5.004.201.50
Megapari5.504.681.61
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.161.1382.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.501.4664.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.752.6335.7%
Over 3.5 goals2.272.1943.4%
BTTS – yes1.571.5560.2%
BTTS – no2.402.3439.8%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 12:30. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.9%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Fenerbahçe 1–2 Liverpool, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Fenerbahçe 31st (2 points), Liverpool 3rd (9 points).
  • Form in the competition: Fenerbahçe 4W 4D 1L (11:12), Liverpool 3W 0D 0L (12:7).
  • Absences: Fenerbahçe 6, Liverpool 7.

Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?

Fenerbahçe18%
Draw21%
Liverpool61%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals82.9% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.16
Likely
Draw or Liverpool (X2)82.2% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.18
Likely
Over 2.5 goals64.3% · fair odds 1.56 · best 1.50
Likely
Liverpool to win61.2% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.61
Likely
Both teams score: yes60.2% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.57
Likely
Under 3.5 goals56.6% · fair odds 1.77 · best 1.74
Possible
Over 3.5 goals43.4% · fair odds 2.30 · best 2.27
Outsider
Both teams score: no39.8% · fair odds 2.51 · best 2.40
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals35.7% · fair odds 2.80 · best 2.75
Outsider
Draw21.0% · fair odds 4.76 · best 4.72
Outsider
Fenerbahçe to win17.8% · fair odds 5.60 · best 5.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 29.9%
1 : 19.2%
0 : 29.0%
0 : 18.3%
1 : 37.1%
0 : 36.4%

Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool: injuries, suspensions, absences

Fenerbahçe

  • N. Akemuscle injury · will miss the match
  • M. Asensioknee injury · will miss the match
  • A. Dioufnot in the squad · will miss the match
  • A. Fallnot in the squad · will miss the match
  • J. OosterwoldeAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
  • M. Yandasnot in the squad · will miss the match

Liverpool

  • C. Bradleyknee injury · will miss the match
  • F. Chiesanot in the squad · will miss the match
  • H. EkitikeAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
  • W. Endonot in the squad · will miss the match
  • J. Frimpongmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • G. Leoniknee injury · will miss the match
  • A. Nalloabsence · will miss the match

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain33-0-014:59
2Aston Villa33-0-012:39
3Liverpool33-0-012:79
4Real Madrid33-0-010:59
5Real Betis33-0-07:49
6VfB Stuttgart32-1-07:27
7Arsenal32-1-06:27
8Barcelona32-0-111:66
9Como32-0-110:56
10Manchester City32-0-19:56
11Club Brugge KV32-0-19:66
12Sporting CP32-0-17:46
13Borussia Dortmund32-0-15:46
14Bayern München31-2-010:55
15AS Roma31-1-18:54
16Atlético Madrid31-1-14:34
17Shakhtar Donetsk31-1-14:34
18PSV Eindhoven31-1-12:24
19Villarreal31-0-28:83
20Inter31-0-25:63
21Manchester United31-0-25:63
22Napoli31-0-25:73
23Galatasaray31-0-26:93
24Lask Linz31-0-26:93
25Sabah FA31-0-23:63
26Feyenoord31-0-24:83
27Lens31-0-23:73
28Bodø/Glimt31-0-24:93
29AEK Athens FC31-0-23:83
30RB Leipzig31-0-23:83
31Fenerbahçe30-2-13:92
32Slavia Praha30-1-24:71
33Viking30-1-25:91
34FC Porto30-0-32:60
35Lille30-0-34:100
36Slovan Bratislava30-0-31:130

Recent matches

Fenerbahçe

20 OctDFenerbahçe 2–2 Slavia Praha
14 OctLAston Villa 6–0 Fenerbahçe
10 SeptDFenerbahçe 1–1 AS Roma
26 AugWLyon 1–2 Fenerbahçe
18 AugDFenerbahçe 1–1 Lyon

Liverpool

1 NovLLiverpool 0–1 Arsenal
25 OctWLiverpool 2–0 Brighton
20 OctWLiverpool 4–3 Villarreal
17 OctWBrentford 1–2 Liverpool
14 OctWLask Linz 3–6 Liverpool

Home and away

Fenerbahçe at home2 matches: 0W 2D 0L, goals 3–3
Liverpool away1 match: 1W 0D 0L, goals 6–3

Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Fenerbahçe: 31st, 2 points from 3 matches (0W 2D 1L). Liverpool: 3rd, 9 points (3W 0D 0L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Fenerbahçe 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded, Liverpool 4.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Fenerbahçe: 4W 4D 1L, goals 11–12; Liverpool: 3W 0D 0L, goals 12–7.

What to expect

We make Liverpool the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 64%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. This competition, scored–conceded: Fenerbahçe 11–12, Liverpool 12–7.
  2. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 64%.
  3. Not available: Fenerbahçe 6, Liverpool 7.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Fenerbahçe: N. Ake, M. Asensio, A. Diouf, A. Fall, J. Oosterwolde, M. Yandas. Not available for Liverpool: C. Bradley, F. Chiesa, H. Ekitike, W. Endo, J. Frimpong, G. Leoni, A. Nallo. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool: the numbers side by side

FenerbahçeLiverpool
40%Form60%
33%Attack67%
39%Defence61%
37.0%Overall63.0%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

FenerbahçeDLDWD
LiverpoolWWW

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.9%

Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?

On the result, our pick is Liverpool to win (1.61); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Liverpool (X2).

Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?

As we see it: Fenerbahçe to win 18%, the draw 21%, Liverpool to win 61%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

4 November 2026, 17:45, at Chobani Stadium, Istanbul.

Who will be missing?

Fenerbahçe: N. Ake, M. Asensio, A. Diouf, A. Fall, J. Oosterwolde, M. Yandas. Liverpool: C. Bradley, F. Chiesa, H. Ekitike, W. Endo, J. Frimpong, G. Leoni, A. Nallo. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 64% chance (odds 1.50), against 36% for under 2.5 (odds 2.75).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.57).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–2 (9.9%), 1–1 (9.2%), 0–2 (9.0%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP 3 NovGalatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart 3 NovManchester United vs AS Roma 3 NovFeyenoord vs Inter 3 NovBodø/Glimt vs Lille 3 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.