Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Thun entertain HNK Hajduk Split on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Stockhorn Arena (Thun), with J. Gillett the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.88 | 3.90 | 2.37 |
| Market average | 2.78 | 3.70 | 2.30 |
| Lowest odds | 2.63 | 3.47 | 2.16 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 82.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.49 | 62.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.51 | 37.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.24 | 42.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.45 | 1.42 | 65.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.75 | 2.67 | 34.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 22/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FC Thun 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: FC Thun 32nd (0 points), HNK Hajduk Split 8th (6 points).
- Absences: FC Thun 0, HNK Hajduk Split 0.
Who will win FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: injuries, suspensions, absences
FC Thun
- No reported absences
HNK Hajduk Split
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2-0-0 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjælland | 2 | 0-2-0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0-0-2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Recent matches
Home and away
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. FC Thun: 32nd, 0 points from 2 matches (0W 0D 2L). HNK Hajduk Split: 8th, 6 points (2W 0D 0L).
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.45), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 65% and over 2.5 goals is 63%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 63%.
- Not available: FC Thun 0, HNK Hajduk Split 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 63%, odds up to 1.55). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for FC Thun: no absences. Not available for HNK Hajduk Split: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split?
On the result, our pick is Draw or HNK Hajduk Split (X2) (1.47); on goals, Both teams to score (1.45). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or HNK Hajduk Split (X2).
Who will win FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split?
As we see it: FC Thun to win 34%, the draw 25%, HNK Hajduk Split to win 41%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
22 October 2026, 20:00, at Stockhorn Arena, Thun. Referee: J. Gillett.
Who will be missing?
FC Thun: no absences. HNK Hajduk Split: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 63% chance (odds 1.55), against 37% for under 2.5 (odds 2.63).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 65% (odds 1.45).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.2%), 1–2 (8.7%), 2–1 (7.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.