Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC St. Pauli entertain 1. FC Nürnberg on 1 November 2026 · 12:30 at Millerntor-Stadion (St. Pauli Burger), with Robert Hartmann the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.19 | 3.75 | 3.34 |
| Market average | 2.12 | 3.58 | 3.15 |
| Lowest odds | 2.05 | 3.28 | 2.91 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.18 | 78.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.66 | 56.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.24 | 2.17 | 43.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.56 | 36.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.35 | 39.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 12:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FC St. Pauli 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FC St. Pauli 8th (12 points), 1. FC Nürnberg 2nd (21 points).
- Form in the competition: FC St. Pauli 2W 6D 1L (11:9), 1. FC Nürnberg 5W 3D 1L (21:12).
- H2H: 21 matches: FC St. Pauli 11W 6D 4L, goals 32–28.
- Absences: FC St. Pauli 0, 1. FC Nürnberg 0.
Who will win FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg: injuries, suspensions, absences
FC St. Pauli
- No reported absences
1. FC Nürnberg
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 10 | 9-1-0 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6-3-1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5-4-1 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5-3-2 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5-2-3 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4-3-3 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4-2-4 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2-6-2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3-2-5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 11 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 3-2-5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 12 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 13 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 14 |  Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2-4-4 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 16 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 17 |  Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1-5-4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 |  Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 12:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
FC St. Pauli
Home and away
FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. FC St. Pauli: 8th, 12 points from 10 matches (2W 6D 2L). 1. FC Nürnberg: 2nd, 21 points (6W 3D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: FC St. Pauli 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded, 1. FC Nürnberg 2.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. FC St. Pauli: 2W 6D 1L, goals 11–9; 1. FC Nürnberg: 5W 3D 1L, goals 21–12.
- Head to head. Head to head over 21 meetings: FC St. Pauli 11 wins, 1. FC Nürnberg 4 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 32–28.
What to expect
We make FC St. Pauli the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
The two signals clash: on table position the 1. FC Nürnberg look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 57%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 21; FC St. Pauli 11 wins, 6 draws, 1. FC Nürnberg 4 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.9 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: FC St. Pauli 11–9, 1. FC Nürnberg 21–12.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Not available: FC St. Pauli 0, 1. FC Nürnberg 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for FC St. Pauli: no absences. Not available for 1. FC Nürnberg: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
FC St. PauliLDDWD1. FC NürnbergWLDDWFC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg: head to head
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FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
On the result, our pick is FC St. Pauli or draw (1X) (1.37); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for FC St. Pauli or draw (1X).
Who will win FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
As we see it: FC St. Pauli to win 44%, the draw 26%, 1. FC Nürnberg to win 30%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
1 November 2026, 12:30, at Millerntor-Stadion, St. Pauli Burger. Referee: Robert Hartmann.
Who will be missing?
FC St. Pauli: no absences. 1. FC Nürnberg: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 57% chance (odds 1.70), against 43% for under 2.5 (odds 2.24).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.2%), 2–1 (9.3%), 1–0 (8.6%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.