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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 9 · 23 October 2026 · 17:30

SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli tip, odds and prediction, 23 October 2026, 2. Bundesliga

1SV Darmstadt 983.06
XDraw3.58
2FC St. Pauli2.34

Top odds available · Updated 23/10/26, 14:03

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Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

SV Darmstadt 98 v FC St. Pauli takes place on 23 October 2026 · 17:30 at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor (Darmstadt); Timo Gansloweit, Germany will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or FC St. Pauli (X2)
1.42
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.47
68%chance of the result
68%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.063.582.34
Market average2.963.422.28
Lowest odds2.803.202.20
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.271.2276.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.821.7753.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.172.0246.7%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.8932.2%
BTTS – yes1.671.6157.5%
BTTS – no2.252.1842.5%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 23/10/26, 14:03. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: SV Darmstadt 98 1–1 FC St. Pauli, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: SV Darmstadt 98 16th (9 points), FC St. Pauli 8th (12 points).
  • Absences: SV Darmstadt 98 0, FC St. Pauli 0.

Who will win SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli?

SV Darmstadt 9832%
Draw27%
FC St. Pauli41%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals76.2% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.27
Likely
Draw or FC St. Pauli (X2)68.4% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.42
Likely
Under 3.5 goals67.8% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.47
Likely
Both teams score: yes57.5% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals53.3% · fair odds 1.88 · best 1.82
Possible
Under 2.5 goals46.7% · fair odds 2.14 · best 2.17
Outsider
Both teams score: no42.5% · fair odds 2.35 · best 2.25
Outsider
FC St. Pauli to win41.0% · fair odds 2.44 · best 2.34
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.2% · fair odds 3.10 · best 3.00
Outsider
SV Darmstadt 98 to win31.6% · fair odds 3.16 · best 3.06
Outsider
Draw27.3% · fair odds 3.66 · best 3.58
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.96 · Under 1.78
probability of over 47.7%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.9%
0 : 19.1%
1 : 28.9%
1 : 07.9%
2 : 17.7%
0 : 26.8%

SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: injuries, suspensions, absences

SV Darmstadt 98

  • No reported absences

FC St. Pauli

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Hertha BSC109-1-023:828
21. FC Nürnberg106-3-124:1321
3VfL Wolfsburg105-4-125:1419
41. FC Kaiserslautern105-3-29:718
51. FC Magdeburg105-2-321:1317
61. FC Heidenheim104-3-317:1815
7Arminia Bielefeld104-2-416:1514
8FC St. Pauli102-6-212:1212
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth103-3-413:1612
10VfL Osnabrück103-2-514:1711
11VfL Bochum103-2-58:1111
12Hannover 96103-2-510:1611
13Karlsruher SC103-2-513:2111
14Energie Cottbus102-4-418:2010
15Eintracht Braunschweig103-1-616:1810
16SV Darmstadt 98102-3-59:199
17Holstein Kiel101-5-410:128
18Dynamo Dresden102-2-612:208

Recent matches

SV Darmstadt 98

31 OctDSV Darmstadt 98 1–1 1. FC Magdeburg
23 OctDSV Darmstadt 98 0–0 FC St. Pauli
18 OctLKarlsruher SC 4–0 SV Darmstadt 98
10 OctWSV Darmstadt 98 3–1 Energie Cottbus
18 SeptLVfL Wolfsburg 5–1 SV Darmstadt 98

FC St. Pauli

1 NovLFC St. Pauli 1–3 1. FC Nürnberg
23 OctDSV Darmstadt 98 0–0 FC St. Pauli
17 OctDHannover 96 1–1 FC St. Pauli
11 OctWFC St. Pauli 2–0 Karlsruher SC
20 SeptDEnergie Cottbus 1–1 FC St. Pauli

Home and away

SV Darmstadt 98 at home6 matches: 2W 3D 1L, goals 8–6
FC St. Pauli away5 matches: 0W 5D 0L, goals 6–6

SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. SV Darmstadt 98: 16th, 9 points from 10 matches (2W 3D 5L). FC St. Pauli: 8th, 12 points (2W 6D 2L).

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.9%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 68% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 53%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 53%.
  2. Not available: SV Darmstadt 98 0, FC St. Pauli 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 58%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for SV Darmstadt 98: no absences. Not available for FC St. Pauli: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.9%

SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli?

On the result, our pick is Draw or FC St. Pauli (X2) (1.42); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or FC St. Pauli (X2).

Who will win SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli?

As we see it: SV Darmstadt 98 to win 32%, the draw 27%, FC St. Pauli to win 41%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

23 October 2026, 17:30, at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, Darmstadt. Referee: Timo Gansloweit, Germany.

Who will be missing?

SV Darmstadt 98: no absences. FC St. Pauli: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 53% chance (odds 1.82), against 47% for under 2.5 (odds 2.17).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.67).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.9%), 0–1 (9.1%), 1–2 (8.9%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth 6 NovEintracht Braunschweig vs Energie Cottbus 6 Nov1. FC Nürnberg vs SV Darmstadt 98 7 NovHolstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld 7 NovVfL Osnabrück vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.