Bet with MINO CASINO →Holstein Kiel entertain Arminia Bielefeld on 7 November 2026 · 12:00 at Holstein-Stadion (Kiel). We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.47 | 3.55 | 2.77 |
| Market average | 2.45 | 3.51 | 2.71 |
| Lowest odds | 2.40 | 3.49 | 2.63 |
| Megapari | 2.38 | 3.52 | 2.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.19 | 79.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.65 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.23 | 42.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.57 | 2.54 | 37.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.53 | 61.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.39 | 39.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 13:46. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.3%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Holstein Kiel 1–1 Arminia Bielefeld, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Holstein Kiel 17th (8 points), Arminia Bielefeld 7th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Holstein Kiel 1W 5D 3L (10:11), Arminia Bielefeld 4W 2D 4L (16:15).
- H2H: 13 matches: Holstein Kiel 2W 3D 8L, goals 16–24.
- Absences: Holstein Kiel 0, Arminia Bielefeld 0.
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld: injuries, suspensions, absences
Holstein Kiel
- No reported absences
Arminia Bielefeld
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 10 | 9-1-0 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6-3-1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5-4-1 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5-3-2 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5-2-3 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4-3-3 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 | Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4-2-4 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 |  FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2-6-2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3-2-5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 11 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 3-2-5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 12 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 13 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 14 |  Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2-4-4 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 16 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1-5-4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 |  Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 12:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Holstein Kiel
Home and away
Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Holstein Kiel: 17th, 8 points from 10 matches (1W 5D 4L). Arminia Bielefeld: 7th, 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Holstein Kiel 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded, Arminia Bielefeld 1.6 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Holstein Kiel: 1W 5D 3L, goals 10–11; Arminia Bielefeld: 4W 2D 4L, goals 16–15.
- Head to head. Head to head over 13 meetings: Holstein Kiel 2 wins, Arminia Bielefeld 8 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 16–24.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
The two signals clash: on table position the Arminia Bielefeld look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 61% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 13; Holstein Kiel 2 wins, 3 draws, Arminia Bielefeld 8 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.1 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Holstein Kiel 10–11, Arminia Bielefeld 16–15.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Not available: Holstein Kiel 0, Arminia Bielefeld 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 61%, odds up to 1.55). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Holstein Kiel: no absences. Not available for Arminia Bielefeld: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Holstein KielLWDLDArminia BielefeldWLWWDHolstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld: head to head
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Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?
On the result, our pick is Holstein Kiel or draw (1X) (1.47); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.53). Prefer less risk? Go for Holstein Kiel or draw (1X).
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?
As we see it: Holstein Kiel to win 38%, the draw 27%, Arminia Bielefeld to win 35%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
7 November 2026, 12:00, at Holstein-Stadion, Kiel.
Who will be missing?
Holstein Kiel: no absences. Arminia Bielefeld: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.65), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 61% (odds 1.55).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.2%), 2–1 (8.7%), 1–2 (8.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.