Bet with MINO CASINO →FC Lugano entertain Kauno Žalgiris on 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at AIL Arena (Lugano). FC Lugano (79%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.22 | 7.80 | 14.70 |
| Market average | 1.18 | 6.88 | 12.28 |
| Lowest odds | 1.15 | 5.90 | 8.68 |
| Megapari | 1.19 | 7.80 | 14.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.09 | 85.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.34 | 69.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.21 | 3.09 | 30.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.87 | 50.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.82 | 51.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.90 | 48.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:27. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.5%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FC Lugano 2–0 Kauno Žalgiris, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: FC Lugano 2nd (6 points), Kauno Žalgiris 36th (0 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Lugano 6W 2D 0L (21:9), Kauno Žalgiris 0W 0D 2L (1:8).
- Absences: FC Lugano 0, Kauno Žalgiris 0.
Who will win FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris: injuries, suspensions, absences
FC Lugano
- No reported absences
Kauno Žalgiris
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 2-0-0 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjælland | 2 | 0-2-0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0-0-2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Recent matches
FC Lugano
Home and away
FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. FC Lugano: 2nd, 6 points from 2 matches (2W 0D 0L). Kauno Žalgiris: 36th, 0 points (0W 0D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: FC Lugano 2.6 scored and 1.1 conceded, Kauno Žalgiris 0.5 scored and 4.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. FC Lugano: 6W 2D 0L, goals 21–9; Kauno Žalgiris: 0W 0D 2L, goals 1–8.
What to expect
We make FC Lugano the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (10.7%). We expect goals and an open game.
The result only pays 1.22, so the goals markets are an option too: Both teams to score (odds 1.87), with a probability of 51% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 51% and over 2.5 goals is 70%.
Main points of the prediction
- This competition, scored–conceded: FC Lugano 21–9, Kauno Žalgiris 1–8.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 70%.
- Not available: FC Lugano 0, Kauno Žalgiris 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 51%, odds up to 1.87). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for FC Lugano: no absences. Not available for Kauno Žalgiris: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
FC LuganoWWKauno ŽalgirisLLReturns calculator
FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris?
On the result, our pick is FC Lugano to win (1.22); on goals, Both teams to score (1.87). Prefer less risk? Go for FC Lugano or draw (1X).
Who will win FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris?
As we see it: FC Lugano to win 79%, the draw 14%, Kauno Žalgiris to win 8%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
5 November 2026, 20:00, at AIL Arena, Lugano.
Who will be missing?
FC Lugano: no absences. Kauno Žalgiris: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 70% chance (odds 1.38), against 30% for under 2.5 (odds 3.21).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 51% (odds 1.87).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–0 (10.7%), 3–0 (10.0%), 2–1 (8.6%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.