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Serie B · Matchweek 8 · 23 October 2026 · 19:30

Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus tip, odds and prediction, 23 October 2026, Serie B

DLLDL
0–2
1Empoli2.62
XDraw3.39
2Vicenza Virtus3.00

Top odds available · Updated 23/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Empoli entertain Vicenza Virtus on 23 October 2026 · 19:30 at Carlo Castellani (Empoli), with Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta, Italy the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Empoli or draw (1X)
1.47
Goals
Both teams to score
1.67
66%chance of the result
57%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.623.393.00
Market average2.533.282.72
Lowest odds2.453.102.60
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.291.2475.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.931.8351.6%
Under 2.5 goals1.981.9548.4%
Over 3.5 goals3.413.0530.6%
BTTS – yes1.671.6257.1%
BTTS – no2.252.1642.9%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 23/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Empoli 1–1 Vicenza Virtus, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Empoli 18th (8 points), Vicenza Virtus 17th (9 points).
  • H2H: 5 matches: Empoli 3W 1D 1L, goals 10–6.
  • Absences: Empoli 0, Vicenza Virtus 0.

Who will win Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?

Empoli37%
Draw29%
Vicenza Virtus34%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals75.0% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.29
Likely
Under 3.5 goals69.4% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.39
Likely
Empoli or draw (1X)65.6% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.47
Likely
Both teams score: yes57.1% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals51.6% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.93
Possible
Under 2.5 goals48.4% · fair odds 2.07 · best 1.98
Outsider
Both teams score: no42.9% · fair odds 2.33 · best 2.25
Outsider
Empoli to win37.0% · fair odds 2.70 · best 2.62
Outsider
Vicenza Virtus to win34.4% · fair odds 2.91 · best 3.00
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals30.6% · fair odds 3.27 · best 3.41
Outsider
Draw28.6% · fair odds 3.50 · best 3.39
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.03 · Under 1.72
probability of over 45.9%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.84 · Under 1.84
probability of over 50.0%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.1%
1 : 08.9%
0 : 18.6%
2 : 18.5%
1 : 28.2%
0 : 06.4%

Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: injuries, suspensions, absences

Empoli

  • No reported absences

Vicenza Virtus

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Palermo108-2-024:1226
2Modena106-2-218:1020
3Ascoli105-4-116:619
4Mantova105-3-215:1118
5Avellino104-3-315:1015
6Benevento104-3-314:1015
7Hellas Verona104-3-319:1315
8Pisa104-3-318:1515
9Padova104-2-410:1114
10Südtirol103-5-211:1014
11Cremonese103-3-410:1112
12Cesena102-6-211:1412
13Arezzo103-2-59:1911
14Virtus Entella102-4-411:1210
15Carrarese103-1-69:1310
16Juve Stabia103-4-311:119
17Vicenza Virtus102-3-513:209
18Empoli102-2-610:178
19Sampdoria102-2-610:188
20Catanzaro101-3-611:226

Recent matches

Empoli

1 NovDEmpoli 2–2 Juve Stabia
27 OctLCesena 2–1 Empoli
23 OctLEmpoli 0–2 Vicenza Virtus
17 OctDAscoli 1–1 Empoli
10 OctLEmpoli 2–4 Palermo

Vicenza Virtus

1 NovLPalermo 3–1 Vicenza Virtus
27 OctLVicenza Virtus 1–2 Modena
23 OctWEmpoli 0–2 Vicenza Virtus
17 OctDBenevento 2–2 Vicenza Virtus
10 OctLVicenza Virtus 0–3 Pisa

Home and away

Empoli at home5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 5–9
Vicenza Virtus away6 matches: 1W 2D 3L, goals 8–12

Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Empoli: 18th, 8 points from 10 matches (2W 2D 6L). Vicenza Virtus: 17th, 9 points (2W 3D 5L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 5 meetings: Empoli 3 wins, Vicenza Virtus 1 win, plus 1 draw; goals 10–6.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.1%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.67), with a probability of 57% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 5; Empoli 3 wins, 1 draw, Vicenza Virtus 1 win.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.2 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
  4. Not available: Empoli 0, Vicenza Virtus 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 57%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Empoli: no absences. Not available for Vicenza Virtus: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: head to head

All matches
3Empoli
1Draws
1Vicenza Virtus
23/10/26 · Empoli 0–2 Vicenza Virtus
15/8/21 · Empoli 4–2 Vicenza
13/3/21 · Vicenza Virtus 0–2 Empoli
28/11/20 · Empoli 2–2 Vicenza Virtus
13/8/16 · Empoli 2–0 Vicenza Virtus

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.9%

Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?

On the result, our pick is Empoli or draw (1X) (1.47); on goals, Both teams to score (1.67). Prefer less risk? Go for Empoli or draw (1X).

Who will win Empoli vs Vicenza Virtus?

As we see it: Empoli to win 37%, the draw 29%, Vicenza Virtus to win 34%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

23 October 2026, 19:30, at Carlo Castellani, Empoli. Referee: Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta, Italy.

Who will be missing?

Empoli: no absences. Vicenza Virtus: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.93), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 1.98).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.67).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.1%), 1–0 (8.9%), 0–1 (8.6%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Ascoli vs Palermo 6 NovCesena vs Catanzaro 7 NovPisa vs Südtirol 7 NovJuve Stabia vs Arezzo 7 NovPadova vs Empoli 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.