Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Derry City v St Patrick's Athl. takes place on 19 October 2026 · 20:00 at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry); Aaron O'Dowd will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.60 | 3.38 | 2.17 |
| Market average | 3.38 | 3.23 | 2.09 |
| Lowest odds | 3.05 | 3.01 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.30 | 71.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 2.01 | 46.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.76 | 53.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.75 | 3.49 | 26.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.77 | 52.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.93 | 47.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 19/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Derry City 1–1 St Patrick's Athl., roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Derry City 5th (48 points), St Patrick's Athl. 3rd (60 points).
- H2H: 32 matches: Derry City 15W 10D 7L, goals 39–25.
- Absences: Derry City 0, St Patrick's Athl. 0.
Who will win Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.: injuries, suspensions, absences
Derry City
- No reported absences
St Patrick's Athl.
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 20-8-8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 2 |  Bohemians | 36 | 19-8-9 | 63:44 | 65 |
| 3 | St Patrick's Athl. | 36 | 17-9-10 | 55:31 | 60 |
| 4 |  Shelbourne | 36 | 12-13-11 | 52:50 | 49 |
| 5 | Derry City | 36 | 11-15-10 | 50:47 | 48 |
| 6 |  Dundalk | 36 | 11-12-13 | 55:59 | 45 |
| 7 |  Waterford | 36 | 10-13-13 | 54:61 | 43 |
| 8 |  Galway United | 36 | 10-12-14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 36 | 10-10-16 | 44:57 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5-10-21 | 28:66 | 25 |
Recent matches
Derry City
Home and away
Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Derry City: 5th, 48 points from 36 matches (11W 15D 10L). St Patrick's Athl.: 3rd, 60 points (17W 9D 10L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 32 meetings: Derry City 15 wins, St Patrick's Athl. 7 wins, plus 10 draws; goals 39–25.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.5%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.83), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 47%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 32; Derry City 15 wins, 10 draws, St Patrick's Athl. 7 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.0 per match.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 47%.
- Not available: Derry City 0, St Patrick's Athl. 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 52%, odds up to 1.80). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Derry City: no absences. Not available for St Patrick's Athl.: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.: head to head
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Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
On the result, our pick is Draw or St Patrick's Athl. (X2) (1.30); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.83). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or St Patrick's Athl. (X2).
Who will win Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
As we see it: Derry City to win 27%, the draw 29%, St Patrick's Athl. to win 44%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
19 October 2026, 20:00, at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry. Referee: Aaron O'Dowd.
Who will be missing?
Derry City: no absences. St Patrick's Athl.: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 47% chance (odds 2.06), against 53% for under 2.5 (odds 1.83).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.80).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.5%), 0–1 (11.3%), 1–2 (9.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.