Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sligo Rovers and Derry City meet on 30 October 2026 · 19:45 at Showgrounds (Sligo), under referee D. Toland. Derry City (60%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 5.59 | 4.42 | 1.57 |
| Market average | 5.12 | 4.16 | 1.55 |
| Lowest odds | 4.73 | 3.73 | 1.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 78.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.64 | 57.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.28 | 2.20 | 42.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.56 | 36.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.03 | 45.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 30/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sligo Rovers 1–1 Derry City, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sligo Rovers 10th (25 points), Derry City 5th (48 points).
- Form in the competition: Sligo Rovers 5W 9D 21L (26:64), Derry City 11W 14D 10L (48:45).
- H2H: 34 matches: Sligo Rovers 9W 11D 14L, goals 30–40.
- Absences: Sligo Rovers 0, Derry City 0.
Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: injuries, suspensions, absences
Sligo Rovers
- No reported absences
Derry City
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 20-8-8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 2 |  Bohemians | 36 | 19-8-9 | 63:44 | 65 |
| 3 |  St Patrick's Athl. | 36 | 17-9-10 | 55:31 | 60 |
| 4 |  Shelbourne | 36 | 12-13-11 | 52:50 | 49 |
| 5 | Derry City | 36 | 11-15-10 | 50:47 | 48 |
| 6 |  Dundalk | 36 | 11-12-13 | 55:59 | 45 |
| 7 |  Waterford | 36 | 10-13-13 | 54:61 | 43 |
| 8 |  Galway United | 36 | 10-12-14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 36 | 10-10-16 | 44:57 | 40 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5-10-21 | 28:66 | 25 |
Recent matches
Sligo Rovers
Home and away
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Sligo Rovers: 10th, 25 points from 36 matches (5W 10D 21L). Derry City: 5th, 48 points (11W 15D 10L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Sligo Rovers 0.7 scored and 1.8 conceded, Derry City 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sligo Rovers: 5W 9D 21L, goals 26–64; Derry City: 11W 14D 10L, goals 48–45.
- Head to head. Head to head over 34 meetings: Sligo Rovers 9 wins, Derry City 14 wins, plus 11 draws; goals 30–40.
What to expect
We make Derry City the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 57%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 34; Sligo Rovers 9 wins, 11 draws, Derry City 14 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.1 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Sligo Rovers 26–64, Derry City 48–45.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Not available: Sligo Rovers 0, Derry City 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Sligo Rovers: no absences. Not available for Derry City: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Sligo RoversDLDLLDerry CityDWWLWSligo Rovers vs Derry City: head to head
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Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
On the result, our pick is Derry City to win (1.57); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Derry City (X2).
Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
As we see it: Sligo Rovers to win 18%, the draw 22%, Derry City to win 60%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
30 October 2026, 19:45, at Showgrounds, Sligo. Referee: D. Toland.
Who will be missing?
Sligo Rovers: no absences. Derry City: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 57% chance (odds 1.67), against 43% for under 2.5 (odds 2.28).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.75).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.2%), 0–1 (10.2%), 1–2 (10.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.