Bet with Mino Casino →Our tip for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania (UEFA Nations League, 17 November 2026, 19:45): At least one team fails to score at odds of 1.90. Second tip: Bosnia & Herzegovina to win at odds of 1.73. The bookmakers' odds give Bosnia & Herzegovina 54%, the draw 25% and Romania 21%. The most likely score is 1–0.
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania prediction and betting preview
Kick-off is at 19:45 on 17 November 2026, and the numbers point one way. The bookmakers make Bosnia & Herzegovina the favourite at a 50% chance, and their expected goals sit at about 2 for the hosts against 1 for Romania, roughly three goals in total. The most likely exact scores are 1-0 (12.3%), 1-1 (11.6%) and 2-0 (10.1%).
Main facts
- Likely result: Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–0 Romania, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bosnia & Herzegovina 2nd (8 points), Romania 4th (0 points).
- Form in the competition: Bosnia & Herzegovina 2W 2D 0L (6:3), Romania 0W 0D 4L (3:13).
- H2H: 5 matches: Bosnia & Herzegovina 4W 0D 1L, goals 10–7.
- Absences: Bosnia & Herzegovina 0, Romania 0.
Where the goals come from and where they go
In this competition Bosnia & Herzegovina have scored 1.5 goals per match and conceded 0.8. Romania have scored 0.8 and conceded 3.3. That gap is the whole story. Romania have managed three goals in four matches here and have let in thirteen, so the question is less whether the hosts score and more how many they leave on the table.
Romania's last four matches in all competitions tell the same tale. They lost all four, scored 3 and conceded 13, and they were beaten 6-0 in Poland. We would not expect a side with that record to get much out of a trip to Bosnia, even if the hosts have been far from flawless.
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.73 | 3.71 | 4.75 |
| Market average | 1.73 | 3.66 | 4.51 |
| Lowest odds | 1.72 | 3.60 | 4.27 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.25 | 73.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.99 | 1.95 | 48.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.82 | 1.81 | 51.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.51 | 3.51 | 26.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.86 | 49.9% |
| BTTS – no | 1.90 | 1.86 | 50.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 13/11/26, 08:07. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.6%.
Form that Bosnia can trust
Bosnia & Herzegovina's last four matches in all competitions brought two wins and two draws, with six goals scored and three conceded. Their home results are the bit we like most: a 1-0 win over Poland and a 1-1 draw with Sweden. They have not looked fragile at home.
Romania's form is harder to read in a positive way. The four defeats came against Sweden twice, Poland and Bosnia itself, and in the 4-2 loss in Bosnia they at least showed they can score. That was a 2-4 defeat, though, and it does not really change the picture.
Standings and form
League B – Group D
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sweden | 4 | 3-1-0 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 2 |  Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2-2-0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 3 |  Poland | 4 | 1-1-2 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 4 |  Romania | 4 | 0-0-4 | 3:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Home and away
The recent history between these two
The head-to-head record leans heavily toward the hosts. In the last five meetings Bosnia & Herzegovina have won four and Romania one, with goals 10:7. The most recent meeting was the 4-2 win in Romania on 28/9/26, and the 3-1 home win on 15/11/25 shows the same trend. History will not decide the match on its own, but it tells us Romania have rarely made this fixture comfortable.
Who will win Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
No absences to shape the line-up
No absences are reported for either side. That keeps the focus on the form and the goal figures rather than on any late team news.
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania: injuries, suspensions, absences
Bosnia & Herzegovina
- No reported absences
Romania
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Bosnia & HerzegovinaWDWDRomaniaLLLLBacking the hosts to win
Our main tip is Bosnia & Herzegovina to win at odds 1.90 (chance 50%). The odds are short, and the bookmakers' margin on the match result is 8.5%, so there is no fat to chew on. Still, we think the price is fair for a side with this home record against this opponent.
The reasons we like it:
- Bosnia & Herzegovina have won 2 of their last 4 matches in all competitions.
- Romania have won none of their last 4 matches.
- Bosnia & Herzegovina have 8 points in this competition, while Romania have none.
- Bosnia & Herzegovina have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
The main tip wins on 1-0, 2-0 and 2-1, and loses on 1-1, 0-0 and 0-1. That draw-heavy middle is the risk, and it is why we would not stake big on it.
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania: last matches of both teams
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Romania
Head to head
All matchesWhy the under could be the smarter angle
Our second tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds 1.82 (chance 52%). Bosnia & Herzegovina have had more than 2.5 goals in only 1 of their last 4 matches in all competitions, and they kept a clean sheet in 2 of those four. Those are the figures we lean on, not any hunch about the teams.
The under wins on 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 0-0 and 0-1, and loses only on 2-1. Given the expected total of about three goals, it is a near coin flip on the price, which is why we rate it second to the home win.
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Score prediction
Markets we would leave alone
We are not recommending any other bets for this match. The following are simply what the bookmakers expect, and we would not back any of them on this data:
- Over 1.5 goals at 73% chance, best odds 1.25
- Over 2.5 goals at 48% chance, best odds 1.99
- Both teams to score at 49% chance, best odds 1.85
The most likely finish
We land on 1-0 to Bosnia & Herzegovina. It is the most likely exact score at 12.3%, it fits the expected goals of two against one, and it wins our main tip while also keeping the under alive. A narrow home win is the result we would most expect here.
Match odds
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which bet do we recommend for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania?
At least one team fails to score (1.90); Bosnia & Herzegovina to win (1.73).
Who will win Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania?
As we see it: Bosnia & Herzegovina to win 54%, the draw 25%, Romania to win 21%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
17 November 2026, 19:45, at to be confirmed.
Who will be missing?
Bosnia & Herzegovina: no absences. Romania: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 48% chance (odds 1.99), against 52% for under 2.5 (odds 1.82).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 50% (odds 1.87).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–0 (12.3%), 1–1 (11.6%), 2–0 (10.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.