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League Two · Matchweek 13 · 24 October 2026 · 12:30

Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town tip, odds and prediction, 24 October 2026, League Two

1Bristol Rovers1.71
XDraw4.20
2Swindon Town5.00

Top odds available · Updated 24/10/26, 10:04

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Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Bristol Rovers entertain Swindon Town on 24 October 2026 · 12:30 at Memorial Stadium (Bristol), with S. Stockbridge the man in the middle. Bristol Rovers (56%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: tip and prediction
Result
Bristol Rovers to win
1.71
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.48
Combo
Bristol Rovers & over 2.5 goals
2.64
38% · fair combo odds
56%chance of the result
64%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Bristol Rovers or draw (1X) – probability 80%, odds up to 1.22.

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Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.714.205.00
Market average1.663.944.73
Lowest odds1.623.754.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.221.1878.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.671.6457.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.302.2042.7%
Over 3.5 goals2.672.5636.2%
BTTS – yes1.671.6356.8%
BTTS – no2.382.1543.2%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 10:04. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.8%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Bristol Rovers 1–1 Swindon Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Bristol Rovers 17th (16 points), Swindon Town 13th (19 points).
  • H2H: 15 matches: Bristol Rovers 4W 5D 6L, goals 13–20.
  • Absences: Bristol Rovers 0, Swindon Town 0.

Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?

Bristol Rovers56%
Draw24%
Swindon Town20%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: more betting markets

Bristol Rovers or draw (1X)80.2% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.22
Likely
Over 1.5 goals78.6% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.22
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.8% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.48
Likely
Over 2.5 goals57.3% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.67
Possible
Both teams score: yes56.8% · fair odds 1.76 · best 1.67
Possible
Bristol Rovers to win56.4% · fair odds 1.77 · best 1.71
Possible
Both teams score: no43.2% · fair odds 2.32 · best 2.38
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals42.7% · fair odds 2.34 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals36.2% · fair odds 2.77 · best 2.67
Outsider
Draw23.8% · fair odds 4.20 · best 4.20
Outsider
Swindon Town to win19.8% · fair odds 5.04 · best 5.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.96 · Under 1.77
probability of over 47.6%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.4%
1 : 09.9%
2 : 19.9%
2 : 09.4%
3 : 16.3%
3 : 06.0%

Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: injuries, suspensions, absences

Bristol Rovers

  • No reported absences

Swindon Town

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Salford City1410-1-325:1531
2Barnet137-5-128:1826
3Walsall135-7-121:1222
4Crewe145-7-217:1722
5Cheltenham146-3-523:2521
6Grimsby145-5-424:1820
7York145-5-424:2120
8Gillingham145-5-420:1920
9Accrington ST144-7-323:1719
10Chesterfield145-4-524:2119
11Tranmere144-7-319:1719
12Exeter City145-4-511:919
13Swindon Town145-4-515:1719
14Newport County144-6-420:1718
15Shrewsbury145-3-617:2218
16Fleetwood Town144-5-518:1817
17Bristol Rovers145-1-817:2316
18Port Vale124-3-510:1415
19Rochdale144-3-717:2615
20Northampton123-5-49:914
21Oldham133-3-714:1912
22Rotherham142-6-618:2512
23Colchester132-6-512:1912
24Crawley Town122-3-713:219

Recent matches

Bristol Rovers

31 OctLFleetwood Town 3–1 Bristol Rovers
24 OctDBristol Rovers 0–0 Swindon Town
20 OctLBristol Rovers 1–2 Salford City
17 OctLShrewsbury 1–0 Bristol Rovers
10 OctLBristol Rovers 1–3 Barnet

Swindon Town

31 OctWSwindon Town 2–1 Rotherham
24 OctDBristol Rovers 0–0 Swindon Town
20 OctWBarnet 1–3 Swindon Town
17 OctDSwindon Town 1–1 Walsall
10 OctLSwindon Town 0–1 Crewe

Home and away

Bristol Rovers at home7 matches: 4W 1D 2L, goals 11–8
Swindon Town away7 matches: 1W 2D 4L, goals 3–10

Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Bristol Rovers: 17th, 16 points from 14 matches (5W 1D 8L). Swindon Town: 13th, 19 points (5W 4D 5L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 15 meetings: Bristol Rovers 4 wins, Swindon Town 6 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 13–20.

What to expect

We make Bristol Rovers the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.4%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 57%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 15; Bristol Rovers 4 wins, 5 draws, Swindon Town 6 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.2 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 57%.
  4. Not available: Bristol Rovers 0, Swindon Town 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Bristol Rovers: no absences. Not available for Swindon Town: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: head to head

All matches
4Bristol Rovers
5Draws
6Swindon Town
24/10/26 · Bristol Rovers 0–0 Swindon Town
28/2/26 · Swindon Town 1–1 Bristol Rovers
13/12/25 · Bristol Rovers 0–3 Swindon Town
8/10/24 · Swindon Town 4–0 Bristol Rovers
18/10/22 · Bristol Rovers 3–0 Swindon Town
22/1/22 · Swindon Town 1–1 Bristol Rovers

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.8%

Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?

On the result, our pick is Bristol Rovers to win (1.71); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.48). Prefer less risk? Go for Bristol Rovers or draw (1X).

Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?

As we see it: Bristol Rovers to win 56%, the draw 24%, Swindon Town to win 20%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

24 October 2026, 12:30, at Memorial Stadium, Bristol. Referee: S. Stockbridge.

Who will be missing?

Bristol Rovers: no absences. Swindon Town: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 57% chance (odds 1.67), against 43% for under 2.5 (odds 2.30).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.67).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.4%), 1–0 (9.9%), 2–1 (9.9%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.