Bet with MINO CASINO →AEK Athens FC v Real Madrid takes place on 4 November 2026 · 17:45 at Allwyn Arena (Nea Filadelfeia). We back Real Madrid (76%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 11.00 | 7.12 | 1.30 |
| Market average | 9.94 | 6.71 | 1.25 |
| Lowest odds | 9.00 | 6.00 | 1.22 |
| Megapari | 10.10 | 6.86 | 1.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.07 | 87.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.31 | 71.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.55 | 3.33 | 28.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.82 | 52.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.64 | 56.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.16 | 43.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 12:30. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.9%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 12:56. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: AEK Athens FC 0–2 Real Madrid, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: AEK Athens FC 29th (3 points), Real Madrid 4th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: AEK Athens FC 2W 1D 2L (7:8), Real Madrid 3W 0D 0L (10:5).
- Absences: AEK Athens FC 0, Real Madrid 0.
Who will win AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid: injuries, suspensions, absences
AEK Athens FC
- No reported absences
Real Madrid
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3-0-0 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2-0-1 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2-0-1 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2-0-1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1-2-0 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atlético Madrid | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1-0-2 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodø/Glimt | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0-1-2 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
AEK Athens FC
Home and away
AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. AEK Athens FC: 29th, 3 points from 3 matches (1W 0D 2L). Real Madrid: 4th, 9 points (3W 0D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: AEK Athens FC 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded, Real Madrid 3.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. AEK Athens FC: 2W 1D 2L, goals 7–8; Real Madrid: 3W 0D 0L, goals 10–5.
What to expect
We make Real Madrid the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–3, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–2 (9.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.67), with a probability of 57% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 72%.
Main points of the prediction
- This competition, scored–conceded: AEK Athens FC 7–8, Real Madrid 10–5.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 72%.
- Not available: AEK Athens FC 0, Real Madrid 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 57%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for AEK Athens FC: no absences. Not available for Real Madrid: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
AEK Athens FCLLWWDReal MadridWWWReturns calculator
AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid?
On the result, our pick is Real Madrid to win (1.30); on goals, Both teams to score (1.67). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Real Madrid (X2).
Who will win AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid?
As we see it: AEK Athens FC to win 10%, the draw 14%, Real Madrid to win 76%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
4 November 2026, 17:45, at Allwyn Arena, Nea Filadelfeia.
Who will be missing?
AEK Athens FC: no absences. Real Madrid: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 72% chance (odds 1.33), against 28% for under 2.5 (odds 3.55).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–2 (9.2%), 1–2 (8.8%), 0–3 (8.6%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.