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League Two · Matchweek 12 · 20 October 2026 · 19:45

Northampton vs Tranmere tip, odds and prediction, 20 October 2026, League Two

0–1
1Northampton2.33
XDraw3.30
2Tranmere3.27

Top odds available · Updated 20/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Northampton entertain Tranmere on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Sixfields Stadium (Northampton), with A. Jackson the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Northampton vs Tranmere: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Northampton or draw (1X)
1.38
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.73
70%chance of the result
55%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Northampton vs Tranmere: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.333.303.27
Market average2.253.223.12
Lowest odds2.143.042.98
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.381.3568.7%
Over 2.5 goals2.182.1044.7%
Under 2.5 goals1.731.7055.3%
Over 3.5 goals3.923.7125.0%
BTTS – yes1.851.8251.0%
BTTS – no2.001.9049.0%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Northampton 1–1 Tranmere, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Northampton 20th (14 points), Tranmere 11th (19 points).
  • Absences: Northampton 0, Tranmere 0.

Who will win Northampton vs Tranmere?

Northampton41%
Draw29%
Tranmere30%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Northampton vs Tranmere: more betting markets

Under 3.5 goals75.0% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.26
Likely
Northampton or draw (1X)70.2% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.38
Likely
Over 1.5 goals68.7% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.38
Likely
Under 2.5 goals55.3% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.73
Possible
Both teams score: yes51.0% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.85
Possible
Both teams score: no49.0% · fair odds 2.04 · best 2.00
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals44.7% · fair odds 2.24 · best 2.18
Outsider
Northampton to win41.3% · fair odds 2.42 · best 2.33
Outsider
Tranmere to win29.8% · fair odds 3.36 · best 3.27
Outsider
Draw28.9% · fair odds 3.46 · best 3.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals25.0% · fair odds 4.00 · best 3.92
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.89 · Under 1.82
probability of over 49.1%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.8%
1 : 011.6%
0 : 19.5%
2 : 18.6%
0 : 08.6%
2 : 07.9%

Northampton vs Tranmere: injuries, suspensions, absences

Northampton

  • No reported absences

Tranmere

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Northampton vs Tranmere: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Salford City1410-1-325:1531
2Barnet137-5-128:1826
3Walsall135-7-121:1222
4Crewe145-7-217:1722
5Cheltenham146-3-523:2521
6Grimsby145-5-424:1820
7York145-5-424:2120
8Gillingham145-5-420:1920
9Accrington ST144-7-323:1719
10Chesterfield145-4-524:2119
11Tranmere144-7-319:1719
12Exeter City145-4-511:919
13Swindon Town145-4-515:1719
14Newport County144-6-420:1718
15Shrewsbury145-3-617:2218
16Fleetwood Town144-5-518:1817
17Bristol Rovers145-1-817:2316
18Port Vale124-3-510:1415
19Rochdale144-3-717:2615
20Northampton123-5-49:914
21Oldham133-3-714:1912
22Rotherham142-6-618:2512
23Colchester132-6-512:1912
24Crawley Town122-3-713:219

Recent matches

Northampton

31 OctDAccrington ST 1–1 Northampton
24 OctWNorthampton 2–0 Colchester
20 OctLNorthampton 0–1 Tranmere
17 OctWGrimsby 0–2 Northampton
10 OctDYork 1–1 Northampton

Tranmere

31 OctWTranmere 3–1 Cheltenham
24 OctDCrawley Town 1–1 Tranmere
20 OctWNorthampton 0–1 Tranmere
17 OctLTranmere 1–2 Barnet
10 OctDTranmere 1–1 Rochdale

Home and away

Northampton at home6 matches: 2W 2D 2L, goals 4–3
Tranmere away7 matches: 1W 4D 2L, goals 7–10

Northampton vs Tranmere: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Northampton: 20th, 14 points from 12 matches (3W 5D 4L). Tranmere: 11th, 19 points (4W 7D 3L).

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.8%). We see a fairly level contest.

The two signals clash: on table position the Tranmere look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.

On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.73), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 51% and over 2.5 goals is 45%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 45%.
  2. Not available: Northampton 0, Tranmere 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 51%, odds up to 1.85). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Northampton: no absences. Not available for Tranmere: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.6%

Northampton vs Tranmere: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Northampton vs Tranmere?

On the result, our pick is Northampton or draw (1X) (1.38); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.73). Prefer less risk? Go for Northampton or draw (1X).

Who will win Northampton vs Tranmere?

As we see it: Northampton to win 41%, the draw 29%, Tranmere to win 30%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

20 October 2026, 19:45, at Sixfields Stadium, Northampton. Referee: A. Jackson.

Who will be missing?

Northampton: no absences. Tranmere: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 45% chance (odds 2.18), against 55% for under 2.5 (odds 1.73).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 51% (odds 1.85).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.8%), 1–0 (11.6%), 0–1 (9.5%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.