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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 2 · 22 October 2026 · 20:00

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë tip, odds and prediction, 22 October 2026, UEFA Conference League

1Aarhus1.52
XDraw4.74
2Egnatia Rrogozhinë7.11

Top odds available · Updated 22/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Aarhus v Egnatia Rrogozhinë takes place on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Cepheus Park (Randers); A. Culina will referee. We back Aarhus (65%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: tip and prediction
Result
Aarhus to win
1.52
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.48
Combo
Aarhus & over 2.5 goals
2.29
44% · fair combo odds
65%chance of the result
65%goals tip: chance
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Aarhus or draw (1X) – probability 86%, odds up to 1.14.

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Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.524.747.11
Market average1.444.516.60
Lowest odds1.404.105.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.231.1978.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.711.6656.8%
Under 2.5 goals2.242.1843.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.752.6435.4%
BTTS – yes1.821.7951.8%
BTTS – no2.001.9348.2%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 22/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Aarhus 2–0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Aarhus 26th (1 point), Egnatia Rrogozhinë 20th (2 points).
  • Absences: Aarhus 0, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0.

Who will win Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

Aarhus65%
Draw21%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë14%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: more betting markets

Aarhus or draw (1X)85.8% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.14
Likely
Over 1.5 goals78.5% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.23
Likely
Aarhus to win64.9% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.52
Likely
Under 3.5 goals64.6% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.48
Likely
Over 2.5 goals56.8% · fair odds 1.76 · best 1.71
Possible
Both teams score: yes51.8% · fair odds 1.93 · best 1.82
Possible
Both teams score: no48.2% · fair odds 2.08 · best 2.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals43.2% · fair odds 2.31 · best 2.24
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals35.4% · fair odds 2.82 · best 2.75
Outsider
Draw20.8% · fair odds 4.81 · best 4.74
Outsider
Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win14.2% · fair odds 7.02 · best 7.11
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.03 · Under 1.71
probability of over 45.8%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 011.0%
1 : 010.5%
2 : 19.9%
1 : 19.4%
3 : 07.7%
3 : 16.9%

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: injuries, suspensions, absences

Aarhus

  • No reported absences

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Panathinaikos22-0-07:26
2FC Lugano22-0-08:46
3Brann22-0-06:26
4Trabzonspor22-0-06:26
5Twente22-0-05:16
6Monaco22-0-05:16
7St. Truiden22-0-03:06
8HNK Hajduk Split22-0-03:16
9Brighton21-1-04:04
10FC Copenhagen21-1-05:24
11Universitatea Craiova21-1-04:24
12Mjällby AIF21-1-03:14
13Ajax21-0-13:23
14Borac Banja Luka21-0-13:23
15Atalanta21-0-13:33
16SC Braga21-0-12:33
17Gent21-0-11:23
18SC Freiburg21-0-13:53
19FC Nordsjælland20-2-03:32
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë20-2-02:22
21Riga20-2-02:22
22FK Crvena Zvezda20-1-14:51
23CSKA Sofia20-1-13:41
24FK Jablonec20-1-12:31
25FC Midtjylland20-1-11:21
26Aarhus20-1-11:21
27Pafos20-1-12:41
28Heart Of Midlothian20-1-11:31
29FC Iberia 199920-1-11:31
30Getafe20-1-13:61
31Kairat Almaty20-1-12:61
32FC Thun20-0-20:20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC20-0-22:60
34KuPS20-0-22:60
35Inter Club d'Escaldes20-0-21:50
36Kauno Žalgiris20-0-21:80

Recent matches

Aarhus

1 NovLBrøndby 2–0 Aarhus
25 OctWAarhus 2–1 Viborg
22 OctDAarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
18 OctDFC Copenhagen 1–1 Aarhus
15 OctLGent 1–0 Aarhus

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

22 OctDAarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
15 OctDEgnatia Rrogozhinë 1–1 FC Midtjylland

Home and away

Aarhus at home1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë away1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Aarhus: 26th, 1 point from 2 matches (0W 1D 1L). Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 20th, 2 points (0W 2D 0L).

What to expect

We make Aarhus the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (11.0%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 57%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 57%.
  2. Not available: Aarhus 0, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, odds up to 1.71). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Aarhus: no absences. Not available for Egnatia Rrogozhinë: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

On the result, our pick is Aarhus to win (1.52); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.48). Prefer less risk? Go for Aarhus or draw (1X).

Who will win Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

As we see it: Aarhus to win 65%, the draw 21%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win 14%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

22 October 2026, 20:00, at Cepheus Park, Randers. Referee: A. Culina.

Who will be missing?

Aarhus: no absences. Egnatia Rrogozhinë: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 57% chance (odds 1.71), against 43% for under 2.5 (odds 2.24).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.82).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–0 (11.0%), 1–0 (10.5%), 2–1 (9.9%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax 5 NovAarhus vs SC Braga 5 NovAtalanta vs Kairat Almaty 5 NovFK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes 5 NovLincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split 5 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.